Teresa Surita holds the strongest position at 58.5% for first place in the Roraima Federal Senate race, driven by her established local record as multiple-term mayor of Boa Vista and recent MDB party confirmation ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. Trader consensus prices Helio Lopes (Helio Bolsonaro) at 18% on the strength of Jair Bolsonaro’s national endorsement and his mid-2026 candidacy transfer to the state, while figures such as Chico Rodrigues and others trail below 15%. The spread reflects Surita’s incumbency edge and party infrastructure against a fragmented field where right-leaning support splits and undecided voters remain sizable. Late polling shifts, additional endorsements, or turnout patterns in key municipalities could still widen or narrow the gap before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 57%
Regina Tio Ivo 32%
Hiperion de Oliveira 20%
Chico Rodrigues 18%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
55%
Regina Tio Ivo
32%
Hiperion de Oliveira
16%
Chico Rodrigues
18%
Pastor Isamar
17%
Helio Bolsonaro
19%
Helena da Asatur
10%
Nicoletti
9%
Hilton Xavier
7%
Márcio Junqueira
6%
Rogério Miranda
6%
Mario Rocha
4%
Bartô Macuxi
3%
Teresa Surita 57%
Regina Tio Ivo 32%
Hiperion de Oliveira 20%
Chico Rodrigues 18%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$392 Vol.
55%
Regina Tio Ivo
$82 Vol.
32%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$98 Vol.
16%
Chico Rodrigues
$98 Vol.
18%
Pastor Isamar
$121 Vol.
17%
Helio Bolsonaro
$102 Vol.
19%
Helena da Asatur
$91 Vol.
10%
Nicoletti
$98 Vol.
9%
Hilton Xavier
$82 Vol.
7%
Márcio Junqueira
$82 Vol.
6%
Rogério Miranda
$248 Vol.
6%
Mario Rocha
$97 Vol.
4%
Bartô Macuxi
$90 Vol.
3%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita holds the strongest position at 58.5% for first place in the Roraima Federal Senate race, driven by her established local record as multiple-term mayor of Boa Vista and recent MDB party confirmation ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. Trader consensus prices Helio Lopes (Helio Bolsonaro) at 18% on the strength of Jair Bolsonaro’s national endorsement and his mid-2026 candidacy transfer to the state, while figures such as Chico Rodrigues and others trail below 15%. The spread reflects Surita’s incumbency edge and party infrastructure against a fragmented field where right-leaning support splits and undecided voters remain sizable. Late polling shifts, additional endorsements, or turnout patterns in key municipalities could still widen or narrow the gap before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$1,679End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita holds the strongest position at 58.5% for first place in the Roraima Federal Senate race, driven by her established local record as multiple-term mayor of Boa Vista and recent MDB party confirmation ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. Trader consensus prices Helio Lopes (Helio Bolsonaro) at 18% on the strength of Jair Bolsonaro’s national endorsement and his mid-2026 candidacy transfer to the state, while figures such as Chico Rodrigues and others trail below 15%. The spread reflects Surita’s incumbency edge and party infrastructure against a fragmented field where right-leaning support splits and undecided voters remain sizable. Late polling shifts, additional endorsements, or turnout patterns in key municipalities could still widen or narrow the gap before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,679End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita holds the strongest position at 58.5% for first place in the Roraima Federal Senate race, driven by her established local record as multiple-term mayor of Boa Vista and recent MDB party confirmation ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. Trader consensus prices Helio Lopes (Helio Bolsonaro) at 18% on the strength of Jair Bolsonaro’s national endorsement and his mid-2026 candidacy transfer to the state, while figures such as Chico Rodrigues and others trail below 15%. The spread reflects Surita’s incumbency edge and party infrastructure against a fragmented field where right-leaning support splits and undecided voters remain sizable. Late polling shifts, additional endorsements, or turnout patterns in key municipalities could still widen or narrow the gap before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions