Recent July 2026 polls show Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) leading the Amapá Senate race by a wide margin, creating a fragmented contest for second place among incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), Lucas Barreto (PSD), Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), Acácio Favacho (MDB), and a dozen other registered candidates. Multiple surveys place Barreto and Randolfe in a statistical tie for runner-up, with support split across more than ten contenders. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities for second place closely matched, as local coalitions, party alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, and voter turnout patterns determine the final ordering. Further polling releases or campaign events before the October 4, 2026 election could consolidate support and create separation among the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAmapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Randolfe 49%
Juíza Jô 17.8%
Lucas Barreto 13%
Helio Silva 10.2%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Randolfe
49%
Juíza Jô
18%
Lucas Barreto
23%
Helio Silva
10%
Acácio Favacho
8%
Capi
7%
Alliny Serrão
7%
Professor Uzian Pinto
6%
Rayssa Furlan
3%
Randolfe 49%
Juíza Jô 17.8%
Lucas Barreto 13%
Helio Silva 10.2%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Randolfe
$2,564 Vol.
49%
Juíza Jô
$90 Vol.
18%
Lucas Barreto
$208 Vol.
23%
Helio Silva
$90 Vol.
10%
Acácio Favacho
$90 Vol.
8%
Capi
$152 Vol.
7%
Alliny Serrão
$221 Vol.
7%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$361 Vol.
6%
Rayssa Furlan
$90 Vol.
3%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent July 2026 polls show Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) leading the Amapá Senate race by a wide margin, creating a fragmented contest for second place among incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), Lucas Barreto (PSD), Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), Acácio Favacho (MDB), and a dozen other registered candidates. Multiple surveys place Barreto and Randolfe in a statistical tie for runner-up, with support split across more than ten contenders. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities for second place closely matched, as local coalitions, party alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, and voter turnout patterns determine the final ordering. Further polling releases or campaign events before the October 4, 2026 election could consolidate support and create separation among the field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volume
$3,866End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent July 2026 polls show Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) leading the Amapá Senate race by a wide margin, creating a fragmented contest for second place among incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), Lucas Barreto (PSD), Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), Acácio Favacho (MDB), and a dozen other registered candidates. Multiple surveys place Barreto and Randolfe in a statistical tie for runner-up, with support split across more than ten contenders. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities for second place closely matched, as local coalitions, party alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, and voter turnout patterns determine the final ordering. Further polling releases or campaign events before the October 4, 2026 election could consolidate support and create separation among the field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,866End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 polls show Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) leading the Amapá Senate race by a wide margin, creating a fragmented contest for second place among incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), Lucas Barreto (PSD), Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), Acácio Favacho (MDB), and a dozen other registered candidates. Multiple surveys place Barreto and Randolfe in a statistical tie for runner-up, with support split across more than ten contenders. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities for second place closely matched, as local coalitions, party alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, and voter turnout patterns determine the final ordering. Further polling releases or campaign events before the October 4, 2026 election could consolidate support and create separation among the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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