Recent polling has kept the Ohio Senate special election close, with Sherrod Brown holding narrow leads or ties in most surveys amid a Republican-leaning state that Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Brown benefits from strong name recognition after three prior Senate terms, favorable personal ratings, and crossover support among independents and some non-MAGA Republicans, while Jon Husted, appointed to the seat in 2025 following JD Vance’s resignation, draws solid GOP base turnout but faces lower favorability and questions over his record. Top voter concerns center on inflation and affordability, with Brown’s campaign ads highlighting Husted’s support for data center tax incentives that critics say drive up utility rates and energy demand. Brown’s substantial fundraising edge and outside spending have sustained pressure, though Husted’s legislative experience and party infrastructure provide counterbalance. Further shifts could stem from intensified advertising on energy costs, turnout among key voting blocs, or late-cycle economic data before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$177,230 Vol.
$177,230 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Sherrod Brown (D)
54%
Jon Husted (R)
48%
$177,230 Vol.
$177,230 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Sherrod Brown (D)
$102,827 Vol.
54%
Jon Husted (R)
$74,404 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling has kept the Ohio Senate special election close, with Sherrod Brown holding narrow leads or ties in most surveys amid a Republican-leaning state that Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Brown benefits from strong name recognition after three prior Senate terms, favorable personal ratings, and crossover support among independents and some non-MAGA Republicans, while Jon Husted, appointed to the seat in 2025 following JD Vance’s resignation, draws solid GOP base turnout but faces lower favorability and questions over his record. Top voter concerns center on inflation and affordability, with Brown’s campaign ads highlighting Husted’s support for data center tax incentives that critics say drive up utility rates and energy demand. Brown’s substantial fundraising edge and outside spending have sustained pressure, though Husted’s legislative experience and party infrastructure provide counterbalance. Further shifts could stem from intensified advertising on energy costs, turnout among key voting blocs, or late-cycle economic data before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$177,230End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling has kept the Ohio Senate special election close, with Sherrod Brown holding narrow leads or ties in most surveys amid a Republican-leaning state that Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Brown benefits from strong name recognition after three prior Senate terms, favorable personal ratings, and crossover support among independents and some non-MAGA Republicans, while Jon Husted, appointed to the seat in 2025 following JD Vance’s resignation, draws solid GOP base turnout but faces lower favorability and questions over his record. Top voter concerns center on inflation and affordability, with Brown’s campaign ads highlighting Husted’s support for data center tax incentives that critics say drive up utility rates and energy demand. Brown’s substantial fundraising edge and outside spending have sustained pressure, though Husted’s legislative experience and party infrastructure provide counterbalance. Further shifts could stem from intensified advertising on energy costs, turnout among key voting blocs, or late-cycle economic data before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$177,230End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling has kept the Ohio Senate special election close, with Sherrod Brown holding narrow leads or ties in most surveys amid a Republican-leaning state that Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Brown benefits from strong name recognition after three prior Senate terms, favorable personal ratings, and crossover support among independents and some non-MAGA Republicans, while Jon Husted, appointed to the seat in 2025 following JD Vance’s resignation, draws solid GOP base turnout but faces lower favorability and questions over his record. Top voter concerns center on inflation and affordability, with Brown’s campaign ads highlighting Husted’s support for data center tax incentives that critics say drive up utility rates and energy demand. Brown’s substantial fundraising edge and outside spending have sustained pressure, though Husted’s legislative experience and party infrastructure provide counterbalance. Further shifts could stem from intensified advertising on energy costs, turnout among key voting blocs, or late-cycle economic data before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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