**Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, reflecting the NDA coalition’s stable parliamentary majority following the 2024 elections and the absence of any scheduled national vote until 2029.** The Lok Sabha term runs until June 2029, and no procedural mechanisms—such as a successful no-confidence motion or constitutional triggers—have emerged to force an early change. Recent developments, including youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities that peaked in summer 2026 and prompted the education minister’s resignation in July, were contained without broader erosion of government authority; demonstrations ended after concessions, and subsequent polling showed Modi retaining the highest preference as prime minister despite a modest dip in support. Economic headwinds and localized anti-incumbency have surfaced in surveys, yet they have not translated into credible challenges to leadership continuity. Modi has maintained an active role in diplomacy, including at the September 2026 BRICS summit, underscoring ongoing institutional stability. Traders price the low probability of removal by year-end against these structural and recent factors, with the short remaining window offering limited scope for unforeseen shifts absent major unforeseen events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
6% chance
$252,184 Vol.
$252,184 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
6% chance
$252,184 Vol.
$252,184 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, reflecting the NDA coalition’s stable parliamentary majority following the 2024 elections and the absence of any scheduled national vote until 2029.** The Lok Sabha term runs until June 2029, and no procedural mechanisms—such as a successful no-confidence motion or constitutional triggers—have emerged to force an early change. Recent developments, including youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities that peaked in summer 2026 and prompted the education minister’s resignation in July, were contained without broader erosion of government authority; demonstrations ended after concessions, and subsequent polling showed Modi retaining the highest preference as prime minister despite a modest dip in support. Economic headwinds and localized anti-incumbency have surfaced in surveys, yet they have not translated into credible challenges to leadership continuity. Modi has maintained an active role in diplomacy, including at the September 2026 BRICS summit, underscoring ongoing institutional stability. Traders price the low probability of removal by year-end against these structural and recent factors, with the short remaining window offering limited scope for unforeseen shifts absent major unforeseen events.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$252,184End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, reflecting the NDA coalition’s stable parliamentary majority following the 2024 elections and the absence of any scheduled national vote until 2029.** The Lok Sabha term runs until June 2029, and no procedural mechanisms—such as a successful no-confidence motion or constitutional triggers—have emerged to force an early change. Recent developments, including youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities that peaked in summer 2026 and prompted the education minister’s resignation in July, were contained without broader erosion of government authority; demonstrations ended after concessions, and subsequent polling showed Modi retaining the highest preference as prime minister despite a modest dip in support. Economic headwinds and localized anti-incumbency have surfaced in surveys, yet they have not translated into credible challenges to leadership continuity. Modi has maintained an active role in diplomacy, including at the September 2026 BRICS summit, underscoring ongoing institutional stability. Traders price the low probability of removal by year-end against these structural and recent factors, with the short remaining window offering limited scope for unforeseen shifts absent major unforeseen events.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$252,184End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, reflecting the NDA coalition’s stable parliamentary majority following the 2024 elections and the absence of any scheduled national vote until 2029.** The Lok Sabha term runs until June 2029, and no procedural mechanisms—such as a successful no-confidence motion or constitutional triggers—have emerged to force an early change. Recent developments, including youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities that peaked in summer 2026 and prompted the education minister’s resignation in July, were contained without broader erosion of government authority; demonstrations ended after concessions, and subsequent polling showed Modi retaining the highest preference as prime minister despite a modest dip in support. Economic headwinds and localized anti-incumbency have surfaced in surveys, yet they have not translated into credible challenges to leadership continuity. Modi has maintained an active role in diplomacy, including at the September 2026 BRICS summit, underscoring ongoing institutional stability. Traders price the low probability of removal by year-end against these structural and recent factors, with the short remaining window offering limited scope for unforeseen shifts absent major unforeseen events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions