Meta's stock has traded in a volatile range near $590–593 following its July 29 Q2 earnings release, which featured revenue growth of 28% year-over-year but an EPS miss and sharply higher AI-related capital expenditures guiding to $115–135 billion for 2026. The initial selloff drove shares to a 52-week low before a rebound supported by analyst commentary on infrastructure spending returns and a broader tech rally. With no major company-specific catalysts expected before the August 17 close, short-term price action will hinge on broader market sentiment, AI investment perception, and any incremental news on regulatory or competitive developments in large language models. Trader-implied odds reflect this uncertainty around the narrow window and elevated capex impact on margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Aug 17, 2026
$580
77%
$590
50%
$600
24%
$610
9%
$620
7%
$100 Vol.
$580
$100 Vol.
77%
$590
$0 Vol.
50%
$600
$0 Vol.
24%
$610
$0 Vol.
9%
$620
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on August 17, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.Meta's stock has traded in a volatile range near $590–593 following its July 29 Q2 earnings release, which featured revenue growth of 28% year-over-year but an EPS miss and sharply higher AI-related capital expenditures guiding to $115–135 billion for 2026. The initial selloff drove shares to a 52-week low before a rebound supported by analyst commentary on infrastructure spending returns and a broader tech rally. With no major company-specific catalysts expected before the August 17 close, short-term price action will hinge on broader market sentiment, AI investment perception, and any incremental news on regulatory or competitive developments in large language models. Trader-implied odds reflect this uncertainty around the narrow window and elevated capex impact on margins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on August 17, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volume
$100End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on August 17, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.Meta's stock has traded in a volatile range near $590–593 following its July 29 Q2 earnings release, which featured revenue growth of 28% year-over-year but an EPS miss and sharply higher AI-related capital expenditures guiding to $115–135 billion for 2026. The initial selloff drove shares to a 52-week low before a rebound supported by analyst commentary on infrastructure spending returns and a broader tech rally. With no major company-specific catalysts expected before the August 17 close, short-term price action will hinge on broader market sentiment, AI investment perception, and any incremental news on regulatory or competitive developments in large language models. Trader-implied odds reflect this uncertainty around the narrow window and elevated capex impact on margins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on August 17, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
Volume
$100End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Meta's stock has traded in a volatile range near $590–593 following its July 29 Q2 earnings release, which featured revenue growth of 28% year-over-year but an EPS miss and sharply higher AI-related capital expenditures guiding to $115–135 billion for 2026. The initial selloff drove shares to a 52-week low before a rebound supported by analyst commentary on infrastructure spending returns and a broader tech rally. With no major company-specific catalysts expected before the August 17 close, short-term price action will hinge on broader market sentiment, AI investment perception, and any incremental news on regulatory or competitive developments in large language models. Trader-implied odds reflect this uncertainty around the narrow window and elevated capex impact on margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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