Recent polls conducted in July and August 2026 show the AfD maintaining a steady lead at approximately 35-36 percent, while the SPD trails in second at 28-29 percent, ahead of the Left at 11-12 percent and the CDU at 9-10 percent. This consistent ordering underpins trader expectations that the SPD will finish second in the September 20 Landtag election. Minister President Manuela Schwesig’s personal popularity and the SPD’s campaign focus have helped narrow the gap slightly in recent surveys, though the AfD remains positioned to become the strongest force. Smaller parties such as the Greens, BSW, and FDP hover near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their prospects for second place. The market reflects this polling stability and the limited likelihood of late shifts altering the second-place outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSPD 87%
AfD 14.0%
FDP <1%
Grüne <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
SPD
87%
AfD
14%
FDP
<1%
Grüne
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU
<1%
FW
<1%
Linke
<1%
SPD 87%
AfD 14.0%
FDP <1%
Grüne <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
SPD
$2,057 Vol.
87%
AfD
$2,436 Vol.
14%
FDP
$898 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$844 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$824 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$806 Vol.
<1%
FW
$653 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$815 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls conducted in July and August 2026 show the AfD maintaining a steady lead at approximately 35-36 percent, while the SPD trails in second at 28-29 percent, ahead of the Left at 11-12 percent and the CDU at 9-10 percent. This consistent ordering underpins trader expectations that the SPD will finish second in the September 20 Landtag election. Minister President Manuela Schwesig’s personal popularity and the SPD’s campaign focus have helped narrow the gap slightly in recent surveys, though the AfD remains positioned to become the strongest force. Smaller parties such as the Greens, BSW, and FDP hover near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their prospects for second place. The market reflects this polling stability and the limited likelihood of late shifts altering the second-place outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$9,334End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls conducted in July and August 2026 show the AfD maintaining a steady lead at approximately 35-36 percent, while the SPD trails in second at 28-29 percent, ahead of the Left at 11-12 percent and the CDU at 9-10 percent. This consistent ordering underpins trader expectations that the SPD will finish second in the September 20 Landtag election. Minister President Manuela Schwesig’s personal popularity and the SPD’s campaign focus have helped narrow the gap slightly in recent surveys, though the AfD remains positioned to become the strongest force. Smaller parties such as the Greens, BSW, and FDP hover near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their prospects for second place. The market reflects this polling stability and the limited likelihood of late shifts altering the second-place outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$9,334End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls conducted in July and August 2026 show the AfD maintaining a steady lead at approximately 35-36 percent, while the SPD trails in second at 28-29 percent, ahead of the Left at 11-12 percent and the CDU at 9-10 percent. This consistent ordering underpins trader expectations that the SPD will finish second in the September 20 Landtag election. Minister President Manuela Schwesig’s personal popularity and the SPD’s campaign focus have helped narrow the gap slightly in recent surveys, though the AfD remains positioned to become the strongest force. Smaller parties such as the Greens, BSW, and FDP hover near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their prospects for second place. The market reflects this polling stability and the limited likelihood of late shifts altering the second-place outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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