SpaceX’s June IPO commands near-certain market-implied odds following the company’s accelerated timeline: confidential SEC filing in April, public S-1 on May 20, early-June roadshow, and pricing of 555.6 million shares at $135 on June 11 for a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation. Strong institutional oversubscription and Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX reflect robust demand and a faster-than-expected regulatory review. While the 100% June consensus embeds this momentum, realistic challenges include any final-hour disclosure issues or abrupt market volatility that could force a brief postponement, though such outcomes appear remote given the deal’s advanced stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJune 100.0%
February <1%
March <1%
April <1%
$566,190 Wol.
$566,190 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
February
No
March
No
April
No
May
No
June
Yes
July
No
August
No
September
No
October
No
November
No
December
No
No IPO before 2027
No
June 100.0%
February <1%
March <1%
April <1%
$566,190 Wol.
$566,190 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
February
$2,071 Wol.
No
March
$51,009 Wol.
No
April
$37,594 Wol.
No
May
$101,066 Wol.
No
June
$222,948 Wol.
Yes
July
$29,695 Wol.
No
August
$18,834 Wol.
No
September
$19,268 Wol.
No
October
$17,283 Wol.
No
November
$16,223 Wol.
No
December
$10,589 Wol.
No
No IPO before 2027
$39,609 Wol.
No
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX’s June IPO commands near-certain market-implied odds following the company’s accelerated timeline: confidential SEC filing in April, public S-1 on May 20, early-June roadshow, and pricing of 555.6 million shares at $135 on June 11 for a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation. Strong institutional oversubscription and Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX reflect robust demand and a faster-than-expected regulatory review. While the 100% June consensus embeds this momentum, realistic challenges include any final-hour disclosure issues or abrupt market volatility that could force a brief postponement, though such outcomes appear remote given the deal’s advanced stage.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$566,190Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX’s June IPO commands near-certain market-implied odds following the company’s accelerated timeline: confidential SEC filing in April, public S-1 on May 20, early-June roadshow, and pricing of 555.6 million shares at $135 on June 11 for a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation. Strong institutional oversubscription and Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX reflect robust demand and a faster-than-expected regulatory review. While the 100% June consensus embeds this momentum, realistic challenges include any final-hour disclosure issues or abrupt market volatility that could force a brief postponement, though such outcomes appear remote given the deal’s advanced stage.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Wolumen
$566,190Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
SpaceX’s June IPO commands near-certain market-implied odds following the company’s accelerated timeline: confidential SEC filing in April, public S-1 on May 20, early-June roadshow, and pricing of 555.6 million shares at $135 on June 11 for a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation. Strong institutional oversubscription and Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX reflect robust demand and a faster-than-expected regulatory review. While the 100% June consensus embeds this momentum, realistic challenges include any final-hour disclosure issues or abrupt market volatility that could force a brief postponement, though such outcomes appear remote given the deal’s advanced stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania