Skip to main content
icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 76%

Morgan Stanley 23%

UBS 1.9%

Bank of America 1.0%

Polymarket

$42,650 Wol.

Goldman Sachs 76%

Morgan Stanley 23%

UBS 1.9%

Bank of America 1.0%

Polymarket

$42,650 Wol.

icon for Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs

$7,177 Wol.

76%

icon for Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley

$8,024 Wol.

23%

icon for UBS

UBS

$3,354 Wol.

2%

icon for Bank of America

Bank of America

$2,356 Wol.

1%

icon for JPMorgan

JPMorgan

$3,802 Wol.

<1%

icon for Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo

$3,108 Wol.

<1%

icon for Citigroup

Citigroup

$2,522 Wol.

<1%

icon for Barclays

Barclays

$3,392 Wol.

<1%

icon for Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank

$8,915 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 75.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO due to its established advisory role in the company’s recapitalization and early involvement drafting the confidential prospectus alongside Morgan Stanley. Both banks have formed separate deal teams to manage conflicts amid dueling IPO preparations for OpenAI and rival Anthropic, with Goldman benefiting from its recent lead-left position on the SpaceX offering. Recent volatility in technology stocks has prompted reports that OpenAI may delay its listing from a potential fall 2026 target into 2027, though the firm continues adding independent directors to strengthen its public-market readiness. These dynamics reinforce trader consensus around Goldman’s edge while leaving room for shifts if filing timelines or competitive positioning evolve.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$42,650
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027
Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 75.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO due to its established advisory role in the company’s recapitalization and early involvement drafting the confidential prospectus alongside Morgan Stanley. Both banks have formed separate deal teams to manage conflicts amid dueling IPO preparations for OpenAI and rival Anthropic, with Goldman benefiting from its recent lead-left position on the SpaceX offering. Recent volatility in technology stocks has prompted reports that OpenAI may delay its listing from a potential fall 2026 target into 2027, though the firm continues adding independent directors to strengthen its public-market readiness. These dynamics reinforce trader consensus around Goldman’s edge while leaving room for shifts if filing timelines or competitive positioning evolve.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$42,650
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027
Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Powiązane

icon for Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

56%
icon for Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

40%
icon for Czy kapitalizacja rynkowa OpenAI po debiucie giełdowym przekroczy 800 miliardów dolarów?

Czy kapitalizacja rynkowa OpenAI po debiucie giełdowym przekroczy 800 miliardów dolarów?

86%
Tak

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 9 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Goldman Sachs" z 76%, za nim "Morgan Stanley" z 23%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 76¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 76% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" wygenerował $42.7K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 21, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?", przeglądaj 9 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" jest "Goldman Sachs" z 76%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 76% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Morgan Stanley" z 23%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.