Forecast models from multiple sources indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Guangzhou on September 11 under northerly flow, supporting a maximum temperature in the low 30s Celsius with minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity near 55%. This setup favors surface heating during peak afternoon hours, aligning with the September climatological average high near 32°C. Trader consensus splits closely between 32°C and 33°C due to minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and potential urban heat-island effects at official stations. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the outcome ahead of resolution, as small deviations in insolation or wind can shift the daily peak by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 11?
33°C 45%
32°C 39%
34°C 10%
31°C 7%
$11,596 Vol.
$11,596 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
39%
33°C
45%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 39%
34°C 10%
31°C 7%
$11,596 Vol.
$11,596 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
39%
33°C
45%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Guangzhou on September 11 under northerly flow, supporting a maximum temperature in the low 30s Celsius with minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity near 55%. This setup favors surface heating during peak afternoon hours, aligning with the September climatological average high near 32°C. Trader consensus splits closely between 32°C and 33°C due to minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and potential urban heat-island effects at official stations. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the outcome ahead of resolution, as small deviations in insolation or wind can shift the daily peak by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions