Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a peak temperature in Amsterdam on July 29 most likely between 30–32°C under high pressure with southerly flow and abundant sunshine, supporting the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiators include minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, low-level moisture, and potential afternoon cloud development that could shave 1–2°C off maxima, alongside the urban heat island effect at measurement sites. Historical July climatology places average highs near 22–24°C, so this event reflects a notable warm anomaly driven by the current large-scale pattern; updated model runs and KNMI guidance expected over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 29?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 29?
32°C 32%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Jul 29, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
25%
32°C
32%
33°C
22%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 32%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Jul 29, 2026
27°C or below
$23 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$435 Vol.
2%
29°C
$239 Vol.
5%
30°C
$238 Vol.
12%
31°C
$165 Vol.
25%
32°C
$119 Vol.
32%
33°C
$1,381 Vol.
22%
34°C
$272 Vol.
8%
35°C
$121 Vol.
3%
36°C
$69 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$83 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a peak temperature in Amsterdam on July 29 most likely between 30–32°C under high pressure with southerly flow and abundant sunshine, supporting the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiators include minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, low-level moisture, and potential afternoon cloud development that could shave 1–2°C off maxima, alongside the urban heat island effect at measurement sites. Historical July climatology places average highs near 22–24°C, so this event reflects a notable warm anomaly driven by the current large-scale pattern; updated model runs and KNMI guidance expected over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ET
Volume
$3,145End Date
Jul 29, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a peak temperature in Amsterdam on July 29 most likely between 30–32°C under high pressure with southerly flow and abundant sunshine, supporting the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiators include minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, low-level moisture, and potential afternoon cloud development that could shave 1–2°C off maxima, alongside the urban heat island effect at measurement sites. Historical July climatology places average highs near 22–24°C, so this event reflects a notable warm anomaly driven by the current large-scale pattern; updated model runs and KNMI guidance expected over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,145End Date
Jul 29, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a peak temperature in Amsterdam on July 29 most likely between 30–32°C under high pressure with southerly flow and abundant sunshine, supporting the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiators include minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, low-level moisture, and potential afternoon cloud development that could shave 1–2°C off maxima, alongside the urban heat island effect at measurement sites. Historical July climatology places average highs near 22–24°C, so this event reflects a notable warm anomaly driven by the current large-scale pattern; updated model runs and KNMI guidance expected over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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