Shailene Woodley leads trader consensus for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series at 48% implied probability after earning a nomination for her standout guest turn as Annie in Hulu’s Paradise Season 2, where a limited but emotionally resonant arc generated strong industry buzz and critical praise. The Pitt’s multiple nominees—Brittany Allen, Tal Anderson, and Tina Ivlev—split support at roughly 25% combined, reflecting the show’s robust ensemble submissions and solid reviews despite vote fragmentation. Merritt Wever’s 9.7% reflects her Gilded Age nomination and historical guest category precedent, while Miriam Shor trails at 6.3%. With the ceremony approaching, late precursor momentum or voter consolidation could still shift the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series
Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” 48.0%
Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” 10.7%
Tal Anderson – “The Pitt” 6.3%
Miriam Shor – “Pluribus” 6.3%
$12,753 Vol.
$12,753 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Shailene Woodley – “Paradise”
48%
Brittany Allen – “The Pitt”
11%
Tal Anderson – “The Pitt”
6%
Miriam Shor – “Pluribus”
6%
Merritt Wever – “The Gilded Age”
10%
Tina Ivlev – “The Pitt”
4%
Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” 48.0%
Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” 10.7%
Tal Anderson – “The Pitt” 6.3%
Miriam Shor – “Pluribus” 6.3%
$12,753 Vol.
$12,753 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Shailene Woodley – “Paradise”
$5,509 Vol.
48%
Brittany Allen – “The Pitt”
$3,167 Vol.
11%
Tal Anderson – “The Pitt”
$850 Vol.
6%
Miriam Shor – “Pluribus”
$2,412 Vol.
6%
Merritt Wever – “The Gilded Age”
$401 Vol.
10%
Tina Ivlev – “The Pitt”
$414 Vol.
4%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shailene Woodley leads trader consensus for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series at 48% implied probability after earning a nomination for her standout guest turn as Annie in Hulu’s Paradise Season 2, where a limited but emotionally resonant arc generated strong industry buzz and critical praise. The Pitt’s multiple nominees—Brittany Allen, Tal Anderson, and Tina Ivlev—split support at roughly 25% combined, reflecting the show’s robust ensemble submissions and solid reviews despite vote fragmentation. Merritt Wever’s 9.7% reflects her Gilded Age nomination and historical guest category precedent, while Miriam Shor trails at 6.3%. With the ceremony approaching, late precursor momentum or voter consolidation could still shift the market.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volume
$12,753End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shailene Woodley leads trader consensus for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series at 48% implied probability after earning a nomination for her standout guest turn as Annie in Hulu’s Paradise Season 2, where a limited but emotionally resonant arc generated strong industry buzz and critical praise. The Pitt’s multiple nominees—Brittany Allen, Tal Anderson, and Tina Ivlev—split support at roughly 25% combined, reflecting the show’s robust ensemble submissions and solid reviews despite vote fragmentation. Merritt Wever’s 9.7% reflects her Gilded Age nomination and historical guest category precedent, while Miriam Shor trails at 6.3%. With the ceremony approaching, late precursor momentum or voter consolidation could still shift the market.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,753End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Shailene Woodley leads trader consensus for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series at 48% implied probability after earning a nomination for her standout guest turn as Annie in Hulu’s Paradise Season 2, where a limited but emotionally resonant arc generated strong industry buzz and critical praise. The Pitt’s multiple nominees—Brittany Allen, Tal Anderson, and Tina Ivlev—split support at roughly 25% combined, reflecting the show’s robust ensemble submissions and solid reviews despite vote fragmentation. Merritt Wever’s 9.7% reflects her Gilded Age nomination and historical guest category precedent, while Miriam Shor trails at 6.3%. With the ceremony approaching, late precursor momentum or voter consolidation could still shift the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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