Betty Gilpin’s standout turn in the buzzy Apple TV+ horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay” has driven her to the top of trader sentiment at 44.6% implied probability, fueled by the series’ breakout 19 Emmy nominations and critical acclaim as a fresh, word-of-mouth hit. Her isolated “Our History” episode submission avoids competition within her own show, contrasting with “Hacks,” whose record 24 nominations and five guest actress nods—including Kaitlin Olson at 32%—create classic vote fragmentation among Leslie Bibb, Cherry Jones, Laurie Metcalf, and Lauren Weedman. Jamie Lee Curtis’s “The Bear” appearance sits at 10.4% amid lower momentum. With the September 14 ceremony approaching and final voting underway, Gilpin’s unique positioning and the show’s narrative strength position her as the current frontrunner in this unpredictable category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series
Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” 40.0%
Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” 32.1%
Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” 10.2%
Leslie Bibb – “Hacks” 7.0%
$75,356 Vol.
$75,356 Vol.
Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay”
44%
Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks”
32%
Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear”
10%
Leslie Bibb – “Hacks”
7%
Laurie Metcalf – “Hacks”
7%
Cherry Jones – “Hacks”
5%
Lauren Weedman – “Hacks”
3%
Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” 40.0%
Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” 32.1%
Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” 10.2%
Leslie Bibb – “Hacks” 7.0%
$75,356 Vol.
$75,356 Vol.
Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay”
44%
Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks”
32%
Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear”
10%
Leslie Bibb – “Hacks”
7%
Laurie Metcalf – “Hacks”
7%
Cherry Jones – “Hacks”
5%
Lauren Weedman – “Hacks”
3%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Betty Gilpin’s standout turn in the buzzy Apple TV+ horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay” has driven her to the top of trader sentiment at 44.6% implied probability, fueled by the series’ breakout 19 Emmy nominations and critical acclaim as a fresh, word-of-mouth hit. Her isolated “Our History” episode submission avoids competition within her own show, contrasting with “Hacks,” whose record 24 nominations and five guest actress nods—including Kaitlin Olson at 32%—create classic vote fragmentation among Leslie Bibb, Cherry Jones, Laurie Metcalf, and Lauren Weedman. Jamie Lee Curtis’s “The Bear” appearance sits at 10.4% amid lower momentum. With the September 14 ceremony approaching and final voting underway, Gilpin’s unique positioning and the show’s narrative strength position her as the current frontrunner in this unpredictable category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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