**Recent tracking data shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 40-50 posts daily in August 2026, including replies and quotes, though weekend and holiday periods often see reduced volume as business and launch-related activity slows.** Over the Labor Day weekend (August 31–September 2), traders have priced the 40-64 range as the clear favorite at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of lighter posting without major SpaceX, Tesla, or xAI catalysts on the calendar. The next tier (65-89) sits at 22.5%, while sub-40 remains plausible if engagement dips sharply. No high-profile announcements or controversies are scheduled to spike activity, and historical patterns around U.S. holiday weekends support the market’s consensus on moderated output.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 53%
65-89 23%
<40 21%
90-114 5.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
<40
21%
40-64
53%
65-89
23%
90-114
5%
115-139
2%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 53%
65-89 23%
<40 21%
90-114 5.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
<40
$399 Vol.
21%
40-64
$2,505 Vol.
53%
65-89
$978 Vol.
23%
90-114
$297 Vol.
5%
115-139
$1,072 Vol.
2%
140-164
$1,508 Vol.
1%
165-189
$1,166 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$226 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$226 Vol.
<1%
240+
$204 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Recent tracking data shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 40-50 posts daily in August 2026, including replies and quotes, though weekend and holiday periods often see reduced volume as business and launch-related activity slows.** Over the Labor Day weekend (August 31–September 2), traders have priced the 40-64 range as the clear favorite at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of lighter posting without major SpaceX, Tesla, or xAI catalysts on the calendar. The next tier (65-89) sits at 22.5%, while sub-40 remains plausible if engagement dips sharply. No high-profile announcements or controversies are scheduled to spike activity, and historical patterns around U.S. holiday weekends support the market’s consensus on moderated output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$8,582End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Recent tracking data shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 40-50 posts daily in August 2026, including replies and quotes, though weekend and holiday periods often see reduced volume as business and launch-related activity slows.** Over the Labor Day weekend (August 31–September 2), traders have priced the 40-64 range as the clear favorite at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of lighter posting without major SpaceX, Tesla, or xAI catalysts on the calendar. The next tier (65-89) sits at 22.5%, while sub-40 remains plausible if engagement dips sharply. No high-profile announcements or controversies are scheduled to spike activity, and historical patterns around U.S. holiday weekends support the market’s consensus on moderated output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$8,582End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent tracking data shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 40-50 posts daily in August 2026, including replies and quotes, though weekend and holiday periods often see reduced volume as business and launch-related activity slows.** Over the Labor Day weekend (August 31–September 2), traders have priced the 40-64 range as the clear favorite at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of lighter posting without major SpaceX, Tesla, or xAI catalysts on the calendar. The next tier (65-89) sits at 22.5%, while sub-40 remains plausible if engagement dips sharply. No high-profile announcements or controversies are scheduled to spike activity, and historical patterns around U.S. holiday weekends support the market’s consensus on moderated output.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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