Xi Jinping’s centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins traders’ 97% consensus against a widely reported coup attempt before 2027. Recent military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior figures like Zhang Youxia for alleged discipline violations, have further concentrated authority and eliminated potential rivals without triggering organized resistance or public fractures. China’s Leninist structures, pervasive surveillance, and emphasis on party loyalty over individual power bases have historically suppressed elite challenges, while economic planning and diplomatic engagement through 2026 show continued policy continuity rather than instability. A verifiable attempt would require unprecedented coordination among security forces or a sudden leadership vacuum, scenarios that remain low-probability given the absence of confirmed plots or defection signals since the early-2026 rumors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$139,486 Vol.
$139,486 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$139,486 Vol.
$139,486 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins traders’ 97% consensus against a widely reported coup attempt before 2027. Recent military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior figures like Zhang Youxia for alleged discipline violations, have further concentrated authority and eliminated potential rivals without triggering organized resistance or public fractures. China’s Leninist structures, pervasive surveillance, and emphasis on party loyalty over individual power bases have historically suppressed elite challenges, while economic planning and diplomatic engagement through 2026 show continued policy continuity rather than instability. A verifiable attempt would require unprecedented coordination among security forces or a sudden leadership vacuum, scenarios that remain low-probability given the absence of confirmed plots or defection signals since the early-2026 rumors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$139,486Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins traders’ 97% consensus against a widely reported coup attempt before 2027. Recent military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior figures like Zhang Youxia for alleged discipline violations, have further concentrated authority and eliminated potential rivals without triggering organized resistance or public fractures. China’s Leninist structures, pervasive surveillance, and emphasis on party loyalty over individual power bases have historically suppressed elite challenges, while economic planning and diplomatic engagement through 2026 show continued policy continuity rather than instability. A verifiable attempt would require unprecedented coordination among security forces or a sudden leadership vacuum, scenarios that remain low-probability given the absence of confirmed plots or defection signals since the early-2026 rumors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$139,486Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins traders’ 97% consensus against a widely reported coup attempt before 2027. Recent military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior figures like Zhang Youxia for alleged discipline violations, have further concentrated authority and eliminated potential rivals without triggering organized resistance or public fractures. China’s Leninist structures, pervasive surveillance, and emphasis on party loyalty over individual power bases have historically suppressed elite challenges, while economic planning and diplomatic engagement through 2026 show continued policy continuity rather than instability. A verifiable attempt would require unprecedented coordination among security forces or a sudden leadership vacuum, scenarios that remain low-probability given the absence of confirmed plots or defection signals since the early-2026 rumors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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