Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested race for Australia's next prime minister, with multiple candidates clustered near 50% implied probability amid uncertainty over party leadership and parliamentary outcomes. Anthony Albanese, the sitting prime minister, sits at 40.5%, while figures such as Angus Taylor and Pauline Hanson draw lower support, and others remain closely grouped. This balance arises from Australia's electoral system, where two-party dominance can give way to coalition negotiations, minor-party influence, or internal leadership shifts within Labor or the Coalition. Key factors include polling trends, federal budget responses, and any state-level results that signal national swings. Scheduled events like the next federal election and subsequent government formation will determine resolution, with late developments in voter turnout or policy debates capable of separating frontrunners.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthony Albanese 41%
Angus Taylor 21%
Pauline Hanson 15%
Jim Chalmers 7.4%
$16,268 Vol.
$16,268 Vol.
23 sep 2028
Anthony Albanese
41%
Angus Taylor
21%
Pauline Hanson
15%
Jim Chalmers
7%
Robbie Katter
1%
Larissa Waters
<1%
Anthony Albanese 41%
Angus Taylor 21%
Pauline Hanson 15%
Jim Chalmers 7.4%
$16,268 Vol.
$16,268 Vol.
23 sep 2028
Anthony Albanese
$1,452 Vol.
41%
Angus Taylor
$2,025 Vol.
21%
Pauline Hanson
$11,340 Vol.
15%
Jim Chalmers
$572 Vol.
7%
Robbie Katter
$391 Vol.
1%
Larissa Waters
$487 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested race for Australia's next prime minister, with multiple candidates clustered near 50% implied probability amid uncertainty over party leadership and parliamentary outcomes. Anthony Albanese, the sitting prime minister, sits at 40.5%, while figures such as Angus Taylor and Pauline Hanson draw lower support, and others remain closely grouped. This balance arises from Australia's electoral system, where two-party dominance can give way to coalition negotiations, minor-party influence, or internal leadership shifts within Labor or the Coalition. Key factors include polling trends, federal budget responses, and any state-level results that signal national swings. Scheduled events like the next federal election and subsequent government formation will determine resolution, with late developments in voter turnout or policy debates capable of separating frontrunners.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volumen
$16,268Fecha de finalización
23 sep 2028Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested race for Australia's next prime minister, with multiple candidates clustered near 50% implied probability amid uncertainty over party leadership and parliamentary outcomes. Anthony Albanese, the sitting prime minister, sits at 40.5%, while figures such as Angus Taylor and Pauline Hanson draw lower support, and others remain closely grouped. This balance arises from Australia's electoral system, where two-party dominance can give way to coalition negotiations, minor-party influence, or internal leadership shifts within Labor or the Coalition. Key factors include polling trends, federal budget responses, and any state-level results that signal national swings. Scheduled events like the next federal election and subsequent government formation will determine resolution, with late developments in voter turnout or policy debates capable of separating frontrunners.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$16,268Fecha de finalización
23 sep 2028Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested race for Australia's next prime minister, with multiple candidates clustered near 50% implied probability amid uncertainty over party leadership and parliamentary outcomes. Anthony Albanese, the sitting prime minister, sits at 40.5%, while figures such as Angus Taylor and Pauline Hanson draw lower support, and others remain closely grouped. This balance arises from Australia's electoral system, where two-party dominance can give way to coalition negotiations, minor-party influence, or internal leadership shifts within Labor or the Coalition. Key factors include polling trends, federal budget responses, and any state-level results that signal national swings. Scheduled events like the next federal election and subsequent government formation will determine resolution, with late developments in voter turnout or policy debates capable of separating frontrunners.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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