Recent discussions in August 2026 by Trump administration officials, including National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, have floated targeted measures such as indexing long-term capital gains to inflation or expanding primary residence exclusions ahead of November midterms. These ideas remain exploratory, with no reconciliation package or floor action advancing broader rate reductions beyond the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025, which preserved the existing 0/15/20 percent structure. Congressional leaders have cited limited remaining legislative days and competing priorities as barriers, rendering enactment before 2027 improbable under current timelines. Trader consensus at 84 percent for no change reflects these procedural and scheduling constraints rather than outright opposition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
9% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
9% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent discussions in August 2026 by Trump administration officials, including National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, have floated targeted measures such as indexing long-term capital gains to inflation or expanding primary residence exclusions ahead of November midterms. These ideas remain exploratory, with no reconciliation package or floor action advancing broader rate reductions beyond the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025, which preserved the existing 0/15/20 percent structure. Congressional leaders have cited limited remaining legislative days and competing priorities as barriers, rendering enactment before 2027 improbable under current timelines. Trader consensus at 84 percent for no change reflects these procedural and scheduling constraints rather than outright opposition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$2,234Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent discussions in August 2026 by Trump administration officials, including National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, have floated targeted measures such as indexing long-term capital gains to inflation or expanding primary residence exclusions ahead of November midterms. These ideas remain exploratory, with no reconciliation package or floor action advancing broader rate reductions beyond the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025, which preserved the existing 0/15/20 percent structure. Congressional leaders have cited limited remaining legislative days and competing priorities as barriers, rendering enactment before 2027 improbable under current timelines. Trader consensus at 84 percent for no change reflects these procedural and scheduling constraints rather than outright opposition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$2,234Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent discussions in August 2026 by Trump administration officials, including National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, have floated targeted measures such as indexing long-term capital gains to inflation or expanding primary residence exclusions ahead of November midterms. These ideas remain exploratory, with no reconciliation package or floor action advancing broader rate reductions beyond the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025, which preserved the existing 0/15/20 percent structure. Congressional leaders have cited limited remaining legislative days and competing priorities as barriers, rendering enactment before 2027 improbable under current timelines. Trader consensus at 84 percent for no change reflects these procedural and scheduling constraints rather than outright opposition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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