Justice Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s second-longest-serving member at age 78, has shown no public or private signals of an impending retirement announcement. Sources close to him stated in April 2026 that he has no plans to step down this year or in the near term, consistent with his prior comments about serving well into the 2030s and his trajectory toward the longest tenure record in 2028. Thomas remains active on the bench, including recent dissents, with no reported health concerns or institutional pressures. Lifetime appointments for Article III judges and the absence of term limits or confirmation deadlines keep timing uncertain, though the current political environment offers no immediate catalyst for change.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Clarence Thomas anunciará su retiro antes del...?
¿Clarence Thomas anunciará su retiro antes del...?
$10,810 Vol.
31 dic 2026
30 de septiembre de 2026
4%
31 de diciembre de 2026
8%
30 de junio de 2027
12%
$10,810 Vol.
30 de septiembre de 2026
$56 Vol.
4%
31 de diciembre de 2026
$1,323 Vol.
8%
30 de junio de 2027
$9,430 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s second-longest-serving member at age 78, has shown no public or private signals of an impending retirement announcement. Sources close to him stated in April 2026 that he has no plans to step down this year or in the near term, consistent with his prior comments about serving well into the 2030s and his trajectory toward the longest tenure record in 2028. Thomas remains active on the bench, including recent dissents, with no reported health concerns or institutional pressures. Lifetime appointments for Article III judges and the absence of term limits or confirmation deadlines keep timing uncertain, though the current political environment offers no immediate catalyst for change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Mercado abierto: Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volumen
$10,810Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s second-longest-serving member at age 78, has shown no public or private signals of an impending retirement announcement. Sources close to him stated in April 2026 that he has no plans to step down this year or in the near term, consistent with his prior comments about serving well into the 2030s and his trajectory toward the longest tenure record in 2028. Thomas remains active on the bench, including recent dissents, with no reported health concerns or institutional pressures. Lifetime appointments for Article III judges and the absence of term limits or confirmation deadlines keep timing uncertain, though the current political environment offers no immediate catalyst for change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volumen
$10,810Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Justice Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s second-longest-serving member at age 78, has shown no public or private signals of an impending retirement announcement. Sources close to him stated in April 2026 that he has no plans to step down this year or in the near term, consistent with his prior comments about serving well into the 2030s and his trajectory toward the longest tenure record in 2028. Thomas remains active on the bench, including recent dissents, with no reported health concerns or institutional pressures. Lifetime appointments for Article III judges and the absence of term limits or confirmation deadlines keep timing uncertain, though the current political environment offers no immediate catalyst for change.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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