Dalton Eatherly, the Tennessee livestreamer known as Chud the Builder for his racially charged IRL streams, was charged with attempted criminal homicide and related felonies after a May 13 shooting outside the Montgomery County Courthouse. The 69.5% market-implied probability on “No” conviction reflects the early pre-trial stage, where traders weigh the presumption of innocence, Eatherly’s self-defense claims from the incident video and livestream, and the absence of a trial date or plea developments. Recent bond hearings, including the June denial of a reduction to $1 million with added curfew conditions, underscore ongoing legal hurdles without advancing the case toward resolution. Historical patterns in similar felony prosecutions show many charges result in dismissals, reductions, or acquittals, keeping trader consensus cautious despite the severity of the allegations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoChud the Builder convicted?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Mercado abierto: May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly, the Tennessee livestreamer known as Chud the Builder for his racially charged IRL streams, was charged with attempted criminal homicide and related felonies after a May 13 shooting outside the Montgomery County Courthouse. The 69.5% market-implied probability on “No” conviction reflects the early pre-trial stage, where traders weigh the presumption of innocence, Eatherly’s self-defense claims from the incident video and livestream, and the absence of a trial date or plea developments. Recent bond hearings, including the June denial of a reduction to $1 million with added curfew conditions, underscore ongoing legal hurdles without advancing the case toward resolution. Historical patterns in similar felony prosecutions show many charges result in dismissals, reductions, or acquittals, keeping trader consensus cautious despite the severity of the allegations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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