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Geopolítica·Ucrania

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

icon for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Geopolítica·Ucrania

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

$38,141 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$38,141 Vol.

Polymarket
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Jared Kushner

$1,526 Vol.

86%

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Steve Witkoff

$1,365 Vol.

80%

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Andy Burnham

$2,034 Vol.

75%

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Keith Kellogg

$1,531 Vol.

69%

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Ursula von der Leyen

$1,453 Vol.

69%

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Mark Rutte

$33 Vol.

68%

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Donald Tusk

$82 Vol.

66%

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Maia Sandu

$1,132 Vol.

57%

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António Costa

$2,353 Vol.

55%

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Emmanuel Macron

$211 Vol.

47%

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Friedrich Merz

$717 Vol.

55%

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Mark Carney

$2,242 Vol.

47%

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António Guterres

$632 Vol.

16%

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JD Vance

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic engagement amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict shapes trader views on visits by December 31, 2026. European Council President António Costa and Commission President Ursula von der Leyen visited Kyiv in February for the fourth anniversary of the invasion, while NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte participated in a June NATO-Ukraine Council meeting there. Additional 2026 activity includes the Ukraine Recovery Conference and a July Southeast Europe Summit in Kyiv attended by several regional heads of government. Stalled peace talks involving U.S. mediators and European leaders, alongside periodic Russian strikes, influence the pace and profile of future trips. Scheduled multilateral events through year-end and any breakthroughs in negotiations or security guarantees remain key variables that could shift the range of likely visitors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$38,141
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic engagement amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict shapes trader views on visits by December 31, 2026. European Council President António Costa and Commission President Ursula von der Leyen visited Kyiv in February for the fourth anniversary of the invasion, while NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte participated in a June NATO-Ukraine Council meeting there. Additional 2026 activity includes the Ukraine Recovery Conference and a July Southeast Europe Summit in Kyiv attended by several regional heads of government. Stalled peace talks involving U.S. mediators and European leaders, alongside periodic Russian strikes, influence the pace and profile of future trips. Scheduled multilateral events through year-end and any breakthroughs in negotiations or security guarantees remain key variables that could shift the range of likely visitors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$38,141
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jared Kushner" con 86%, seguido de "Steve Witkoff" con 80%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 86¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 86% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" ha generado $38.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 29, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" es "Jared Kushner" con 86%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 86% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Steve Witkoff" con 80%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.