The vacancy in the White House Press Secretary role after Karoline Leavitt's departure on August 27, 2026, has left the next briefing open to multiple administration figures, producing closely matched trader probabilities across senior officials. Recent briefings by Vice President JD Vance and prior stand-ins from cabinet ranks such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent illustrate the pattern of rotating spokespeople during transitions. No permanent successor has been confirmed, keeping implied probabilities distributed among candidates including Stephen Miller, Anna Kelly, and others while the position remains unfilled. Scheduled events, an official appointment announcement, or a White House decision on briefing leadership could quickly shift the distribution as traders reassess near-term resolution odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMarco Rubio 38%
JD Vance 25%
Anna Kelly 18.1%
Stephen Miller 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 sep 2026
Marco Rubio
38%
JD Vance
25%
Anna Kelly
18%
Stephen Miller
12%
Liz Huston
11%
Scott Bessent
7%
Kush Desai
6%
Scott Jennings
6%
Margo Martin
4%
Harrison Fields
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Taylor Rogers
8%
Marco Rubio 38%
JD Vance 25%
Anna Kelly 18.1%
Stephen Miller 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 sep 2026
Marco Rubio
$263 Vol.
38%
JD Vance
$76 Vol.
25%
Anna Kelly
$69 Vol.
18%
Stephen Miller
$550 Vol.
12%
Liz Huston
$189 Vol.
11%
Scott Bessent
$69 Vol.
7%
Kush Desai
$137 Vol.
6%
Scott Jennings
$155 Vol.
6%
Margo Martin
$115 Vol.
4%
Harrison Fields
$130 Vol.
2%
Donald Trump
$337 Vol.
2%
Taylor Rogers
$114 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the individual who leads the next White House press briefing following the creation of this market.
Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does. An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing.
Impromptu press gaggles, and remarks that are not listed on the public schedule as a press briefing, will not qualify.
If two or more individuals jointly lead the next qualifying briefing, this market will resolve to the individual who speaks first.
If no qualifying White House press briefing occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on footage of the briefing, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.The vacancy in the White House Press Secretary role after Karoline Leavitt's departure on August 27, 2026, has left the next briefing open to multiple administration figures, producing closely matched trader probabilities across senior officials. Recent briefings by Vice President JD Vance and prior stand-ins from cabinet ranks such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent illustrate the pattern of rotating spokespeople during transitions. No permanent successor has been confirmed, keeping implied probabilities distributed among candidates including Stephen Miller, Anna Kelly, and others while the position remains unfilled. Scheduled events, an official appointment announcement, or a White House decision on briefing leadership could quickly shift the distribution as traders reassess near-term resolution odds.
This market will resolve according to the individual who leads the next White House press briefing following the creation of this market.
Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does. An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing.
Impromptu press gaggles, and remarks that are not listed on the public schedule as a press briefing, will not qualify.
If two or more individuals jointly lead the next qualifying briefing, this market will resolve to the individual who speaks first.
If no qualifying White House press briefing occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on footage of the briefing, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does. An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing.
Impromptu press gaggles, and remarks that are not listed on the public schedule as a press briefing, will not qualify.
If two or more individuals jointly lead the next qualifying briefing, this market will resolve to the individual who speaks first.
If no qualifying White House press briefing occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on footage of the briefing, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 11:02 AM ET
Volumen
$2,204Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 11:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who leads the next White House press briefing following the creation of this market.
Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does. An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing.
Impromptu press gaggles, and remarks that are not listed on the public schedule as a press briefing, will not qualify.
If two or more individuals jointly lead the next qualifying briefing, this market will resolve to the individual who speaks first.
If no qualifying White House press briefing occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on footage of the briefing, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.The vacancy in the White House Press Secretary role after Karoline Leavitt's departure on August 27, 2026, has left the next briefing open to multiple administration figures, producing closely matched trader probabilities across senior officials. Recent briefings by Vice President JD Vance and prior stand-ins from cabinet ranks such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent illustrate the pattern of rotating spokespeople during transitions. No permanent successor has been confirmed, keeping implied probabilities distributed among candidates including Stephen Miller, Anna Kelly, and others while the position remains unfilled. Scheduled events, an official appointment announcement, or a White House decision on briefing leadership could quickly shift the distribution as traders reassess near-term resolution odds.
This market will resolve according to the individual who leads the next White House press briefing following the creation of this market.
Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does. An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing.
Impromptu press gaggles, and remarks that are not listed on the public schedule as a press briefing, will not qualify.
If two or more individuals jointly lead the next qualifying briefing, this market will resolve to the individual who speaks first.
If no qualifying White House press briefing occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on footage of the briefing, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does. An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing.
Impromptu press gaggles, and remarks that are not listed on the public schedule as a press briefing, will not qualify.
If two or more individuals jointly lead the next qualifying briefing, this market will resolve to the individual who speaks first.
If no qualifying White House press briefing occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on footage of the briefing, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,204Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 11:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The vacancy in the White House Press Secretary role after Karoline Leavitt's departure on August 27, 2026, has left the next briefing open to multiple administration figures, producing closely matched trader probabilities across senior officials. Recent briefings by Vice President JD Vance and prior stand-ins from cabinet ranks such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent illustrate the pattern of rotating spokespeople during transitions. No permanent successor has been confirmed, keeping implied probabilities distributed among candidates including Stephen Miller, Anna Kelly, and others while the position remains unfilled. Scheduled events, an official appointment announcement, or a White House decision on briefing leadership could quickly shift the distribution as traders reassess near-term resolution odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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