Intense competition among frontier AI labs keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and numerous Chinese and other players for the top Code Arena WebDev model by end of July. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 have posted leading SWE-bench scores above 88% through strong agentic coding and long-running repository edits, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series matches or exceeds them on verified tasks and tool use. Google Gemini variants excel at multimodal UI generation and large-context reasoning. Frequent benchmark updates, rapid iteration cycles, and specialization in web-specific workflows like frontend frameworks, API integration, and autonomous debugging create ongoing volatility, with no model yet demonstrating consistent dominance across all WebDev criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMoonshot 94.0%
Anthropic 3.1%
Alibaba 2.5%
OpenAI <1%
$17,686 Vol.
$17,686 Vol.
31 jul 2026
Moonshot
94%
Anthropic
3%
Alibaba
2%
OpenAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Moonshot 94.0%
Anthropic 3.1%
Alibaba 2.5%
OpenAI <1%
$17,686 Vol.
$17,686 Vol.
31 jul 2026
Moonshot
$4,752 Vol.
94%
Anthropic
$1,359 Vol.
3%
Alibaba
$1,249 Vol.
2%
OpenAI
$4,699 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$1,007 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$962 Vol.
<1%
Poolside
$633 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$905 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$237 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$255 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$345 Vol.
<1%
$496 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$237 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$370 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev) when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Intense competition among frontier AI labs keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and numerous Chinese and other players for the top Code Arena WebDev model by end of July. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 have posted leading SWE-bench scores above 88% through strong agentic coding and long-running repository edits, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series matches or exceeds them on verified tasks and tool use. Google Gemini variants excel at multimodal UI generation and large-context reasoning. Frequent benchmark updates, rapid iteration cycles, and specialization in web-specific workflows like frontend frameworks, API integration, and autonomous debugging create ongoing volatility, with no model yet demonstrating consistent dominance across all WebDev criteria.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev) when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jul 15, 2026, 9:39 PM ET
Volumen
$17,686Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 15, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev) when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Intense competition among frontier AI labs keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and numerous Chinese and other players for the top Code Arena WebDev model by end of July. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 have posted leading SWE-bench scores above 88% through strong agentic coding and long-running repository edits, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series matches or exceeds them on verified tasks and tool use. Google Gemini variants excel at multimodal UI generation and large-context reasoning. Frequent benchmark updates, rapid iteration cycles, and specialization in web-specific workflows like frontend frameworks, API integration, and autonomous debugging create ongoing volatility, with no model yet demonstrating consistent dominance across all WebDev criteria.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev) when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$17,686Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 15, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Intense competition among frontier AI labs keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and numerous Chinese and other players for the top Code Arena WebDev model by end of July. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 have posted leading SWE-bench scores above 88% through strong agentic coding and long-running repository edits, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series matches or exceeds them on verified tasks and tool use. Google Gemini variants excel at multimodal UI generation and large-context reasoning. Frequent benchmark updates, rapid iteration cycles, and specialization in web-specific workflows like frontend frameworks, API integration, and autonomous debugging create ongoing volatility, with no model yet demonstrating consistent dominance across all WebDev criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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