Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and rising housing inventory continue to weigh on U.S. home prices, supporting trader consensus that the median home value will finish September below $419,000. Recent data show modest year-over-year gains or outright declines in key metrics, including Realtor.com’s August median listing price of $424,500 (down 1.3% from a year earlier) and softening existing-home sales prices from June peaks near $442,800. Increased active listings, more price reductions, and affordability constraints have slowed appreciation to roughly 1% annually in some indexes, with new-home median prices also easing. With resolution just weeks away and no major catalysts expected to reverse these trends before month-end, the market-implied distribution clusters heavily in the sub-$426,000 range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<$419K 64.0%
$419K - $426K 30.4%
$426K - $433K 7.0%
$433,000 - $440,000 2.0%
$77,336 Vol.
$77,336 Vol.
29 sep 2026
<$419K
64%
$419K - $426K
30%
$426K - $433K
7%
$433,000 - $440,000
2%
$440K - $447K
<1%
$447K - $454K
<1%
$454,000+
<1%
<$419K 64.0%
$419K - $426K 30.4%
$426K - $433K 7.0%
$433,000 - $440,000 2.0%
$77,336 Vol.
$77,336 Vol.
29 sep 2026
<$419K
$23,936 Vol.
64%
$419K - $426K
$15,441 Vol.
30%
$426K - $433K
$10,547 Vol.
7%
$433,000 - $440,000
$17,107 Vol.
2%
$440K - $447K
$5,038 Vol.
<1%
$447K - $454K
$4,389 Vol.
<1%
$454,000+
$878 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and rising housing inventory continue to weigh on U.S. home prices, supporting trader consensus that the median home value will finish September below $419,000. Recent data show modest year-over-year gains or outright declines in key metrics, including Realtor.com’s August median listing price of $424,500 (down 1.3% from a year earlier) and softening existing-home sales prices from June peaks near $442,800. Increased active listings, more price reductions, and affordability constraints have slowed appreciation to roughly 1% annually in some indexes, with new-home median prices also easing. With resolution just weeks away and no major catalysts expected to reverse these trends before month-end, the market-implied distribution clusters heavily in the sub-$426,000 range.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Mercado abierto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Volumen
$77,336Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and rising housing inventory continue to weigh on U.S. home prices, supporting trader consensus that the median home value will finish September below $419,000. Recent data show modest year-over-year gains or outright declines in key metrics, including Realtor.com’s August median listing price of $424,500 (down 1.3% from a year earlier) and softening existing-home sales prices from June peaks near $442,800. Increased active listings, more price reductions, and affordability constraints have slowed appreciation to roughly 1% annually in some indexes, with new-home median prices also easing. With resolution just weeks away and no major catalysts expected to reverse these trends before month-end, the market-implied distribution clusters heavily in the sub-$426,000 range.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Volumen
$77,336Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and rising housing inventory continue to weigh on U.S. home prices, supporting trader consensus that the median home value will finish September below $419,000. Recent data show modest year-over-year gains or outright declines in key metrics, including Realtor.com’s August median listing price of $424,500 (down 1.3% from a year earlier) and softening existing-home sales prices from June peaks near $442,800. Increased active listings, more price reductions, and affordability constraints have slowed appreciation to roughly 1% annually in some indexes, with new-home median prices also easing. With resolution just weeks away and no major catalysts expected to reverse these trends before month-end, the market-implied distribution clusters heavily in the sub-$426,000 range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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