Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Los Ángeles el 30 de septiembre?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Los Ángeles el 30 de septiembre?

icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Los Ángeles el 30 de septiembre?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Los Ángeles el 30 de septiembre?

<$1.137M 49.5%

$1.137M - $1.153M 40%

$1.153M - $1.169M 7.6%

$1.169M - $1.185M 5.8%

Polymarket

$55,609 Vol.

<$1.137M 49.5%

$1.137M - $1.153M 40%

$1.153M - $1.169M 7.6%

$1.169M - $1.185M 5.8%

Polymarket

$55,609 Vol.

<$1.137M

$9,373 Vol.

50%

$1.137M - $1.153M

$12,785 Vol.

40%

$1.153M - $1.169M

$8,171 Vol.

8%

$1.169M - $1.185M

$9,150 Vol.

6%

$1.185M - $1.201M

$9,400 Vol.

<1%

$1.201M - $1.216M

$4,642 Vol.

<1%

$1.216M+

$2,088 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Los Angeles metro area hover near $965,000 as of mid-2026, with year-over-year gains limited to under 1% amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.65% and persistent affordability challenges that constrain buyer demand. Median listing prices from Realtor.com stood at $965,000 in August, reflecting a balanced market with roughly 22 days on market and modest inventory levels. Trader consensus around the $1.137 million threshold and below aligns with this trajectory of limited near-term appreciation through September 30, as seasonal softening and price-cut activity offset pockets of resilience in single-family segments. Key upcoming data releases on sales volume and inventory will likely reinforce the narrow range implied by current odds.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Volumen
$55,609
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Los Angeles metro area hover near $965,000 as of mid-2026, with year-over-year gains limited to under 1% amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.65% and persistent affordability challenges that constrain buyer demand. Median listing prices from Realtor.com stood at $965,000 in August, reflecting a balanced market with roughly 22 days on market and modest inventory levels. Trader consensus around the $1.137 million threshold and below aligns with this trajectory of limited near-term appreciation through September 30, as seasonal softening and price-cut activity offset pockets of resilience in single-family segments. Key upcoming data releases on sales volume and inventory will likely reinforce the narrow range implied by current odds.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Volumen
$55,609
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Los Ángeles el 30 de septiembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<$1.137M" con 50%, seguido de "$1.137M - $1.153M" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Los Ángeles el 30 de septiembre?" ha generado $55.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Los Ángeles el 30 de septiembre?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Los Ángeles el 30 de septiembre?" es "<$1.137M" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "$1.137M - $1.153M" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Los Ángeles el 30 de septiembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.