Recent median listing prices for New York City and broader New York markets have clustered in the $615,000–$689,000 range through August 2026, according to Realtor.com and FRED data, aligning with the 45.6% market-implied probability on the $663K–$689K bin. Tight inventory, persistent demand for higher-end properties, and limited new supply have supported these levels despite some monthly volatility and mixed year-over-year gains in sale prices. With resolution on September 30 imminent, the final figure will hinge on any late-summer adjustments in listing activity amid still-elevated mortgage rates and seasonal patterns. Trader positioning reflects this data-driven stability rather than expectations of sharp near-term shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$663K - $689K 45.6%
$636K - $663K 35.8%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$689K+ 4.4%
$64,818 Vol.
$64,818 Vol.
29 sep 2026
<$555K
9%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
8%
$636K - $663K
36%
$663K - $689K
46%
$689K+
4%
$663K - $689K 45.6%
$636K - $663K 35.8%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$689K+ 4.4%
$64,818 Vol.
$64,818 Vol.
29 sep 2026
<$555K
$1,096 Vol.
9%
$555K - $582K
$2,516 Vol.
3%
$582K - $609K
$1,036 Vol.
1%
$609K - $636K
$8,914 Vol.
8%
$636K - $663K
$33,899 Vol.
36%
$663K - $689K
$9,103 Vol.
46%
$689K+
$8,254 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent median listing prices for New York City and broader New York markets have clustered in the $615,000–$689,000 range through August 2026, according to Realtor.com and FRED data, aligning with the 45.6% market-implied probability on the $663K–$689K bin. Tight inventory, persistent demand for higher-end properties, and limited new supply have supported these levels despite some monthly volatility and mixed year-over-year gains in sale prices. With resolution on September 30 imminent, the final figure will hinge on any late-summer adjustments in listing activity amid still-elevated mortgage rates and seasonal patterns. Trader positioning reflects this data-driven stability rather than expectations of sharp near-term shifts.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Mercado abierto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volumen
$64,818Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent median listing prices for New York City and broader New York markets have clustered in the $615,000–$689,000 range through August 2026, according to Realtor.com and FRED data, aligning with the 45.6% market-implied probability on the $663K–$689K bin. Tight inventory, persistent demand for higher-end properties, and limited new supply have supported these levels despite some monthly volatility and mixed year-over-year gains in sale prices. With resolution on September 30 imminent, the final figure will hinge on any late-summer adjustments in listing activity amid still-elevated mortgage rates and seasonal patterns. Trader positioning reflects this data-driven stability rather than expectations of sharp near-term shifts.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Volumen
$64,818Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent median listing prices for New York City and broader New York markets have clustered in the $615,000–$689,000 range through August 2026, according to Realtor.com and FRED data, aligning with the 45.6% market-implied probability on the $663K–$689K bin. Tight inventory, persistent demand for higher-end properties, and limited new supply have supported these levels despite some monthly volatility and mixed year-over-year gains in sale prices. With resolution on September 30 imminent, the final figure will hinge on any late-summer adjustments in listing activity amid still-elevated mortgage rates and seasonal patterns. Trader positioning reflects this data-driven stability rather than expectations of sharp near-term shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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