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icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de septiembre?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de septiembre?

icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de septiembre?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de septiembre?

$636K - $663K 45.8%

$663K - $689K 42.2%

$689K+ 4.8%

$609K - $636K 4.5%

Polymarket

$69,179 Vol.

$636K - $663K 45.8%

$663K - $689K 42.2%

$689K+ 4.8%

$609K - $636K 4.5%

Polymarket

$69,179 Vol.

<$555K

$1,270 Vol.

4%

$555K - $582K

$2,690 Vol.

2%

$582K - $609K

$1,210 Vol.

1%

$609K - $636K

$9,105 Vol.

5%

$636K - $663K

$36,067 Vol.

46%

$663K - $689K

$10,316 Vol.

42%

$689K+

$8,521 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Persistent low housing inventory amid elevated mortgage rates has anchored NYC median home values in the mid-$600K range through summer 2026, with Zillow’s typical home value index at $833K (up 3.9% YoY as of July) and median listing prices near $615K in August reflecting tighter supply dynamics. Modest appreciation of 4–5% year-over-year in sale prices, driven by scarcity rather than surging transaction volume, has kept the two leading bins—$636K–$663K (46.6%) and $663K–$689K (42.2%)—closely contested as traders weigh seasonal softening against continued resilience in core boroughs. Key near-term catalysts include September listing waves and any late-quarter economic data on rates or employment that could influence buyer sentiment before month-end resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Volumen
$69,179
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Persistent low housing inventory amid elevated mortgage rates has anchored NYC median home values in the mid-$600K range through summer 2026, with Zillow’s typical home value index at $833K (up 3.9% YoY as of July) and median listing prices near $615K in August reflecting tighter supply dynamics. Modest appreciation of 4–5% year-over-year in sale prices, driven by scarcity rather than surging transaction volume, has kept the two leading bins—$636K–$663K (46.6%) and $663K–$689K (42.2%)—closely contested as traders weigh seasonal softening against continued resilience in core boroughs. Key near-term catalysts include September listing waves and any late-quarter economic data on rates or employment that could influence buyer sentiment before month-end resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Volumen
$69,179
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de septiembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "$636K - $663K" con 46%, seguido de "$663K - $689K" con 42%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 46¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de septiembre?" ha generado $69.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de septiembre?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de septiembre?" es "$636K - $663K" con 46%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "$663K - $689K" con 42%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de septiembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.