Recent data show New York City median sale prices ranging from roughly $800,000 to $930,000 through July 2026, with year-over-year gains of 3–6 percent amid tight inventory and resilient buyer demand. Zillow’s Home Value Index stood near $833,000 at end-July, while listing medians hovered around $689,000 in June, positioning the market near the closely matched $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K bins. Persistent supply constraints, elevated mortgage rates keeping some buyers sidelined, and seasonal patterns ahead of the typical September listing increase create uncertainty about the precise September 30 reading. Trader consensus, backed by capital at risk, reflects these counterbalancing forces, with any acceleration in closings or inventory shifts likely to determine which narrow band resolves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$663K - $689K 45.6%
$636K - $663K 44.9%
$609K - $636K 4.6%
<$555K 4.0%
$64,798 Vol.
$64,798 Vol.
<$555K
4%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
5%
$636K - $663K
45%
$663K - $689K
46%
$689K+
1%
$663K - $689K 45.6%
$636K - $663K 44.9%
$609K - $636K 4.6%
<$555K 4.0%
$64,798 Vol.
$64,798 Vol.
<$555K
4%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
5%
$636K - $663K
45%
$663K - $689K
46%
$689K+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Mercado abierto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data show New York City median sale prices ranging from roughly $800,000 to $930,000 through July 2026, with year-over-year gains of 3–6 percent amid tight inventory and resilient buyer demand. Zillow’s Home Value Index stood near $833,000 at end-July, while listing medians hovered around $689,000 in June, positioning the market near the closely matched $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K bins. Persistent supply constraints, elevated mortgage rates keeping some buyers sidelined, and seasonal patterns ahead of the typical September listing increase create uncertainty about the precise September 30 reading. Trader consensus, backed by capital at risk, reflects these counterbalancing forces, with any acceleration in closings or inventory shifts likely to determine which narrow band resolves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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