Recent polls place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early August 2026, with averages near 37–39 percent amid a stalemated conflict with Iran and elevated gas prices weighing on public sentiment. Multiple surveys, including those from CNN, YouGov, and aggregator models, show net approval at or near second-term lows, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with foreign-policy handling and economic conditions. With the August 14 measurement only days away, limited new data releases or major events keep the distribution tightly clustered across the 37–39 percent bins. Separation could emerge from sudden shifts in energy markets, diplomatic breakthroughs or setbacks in the Iran situation, or fresh economic indicators released before the cutoff date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado37,0–37,4 37%
37,5–37,9 37%
38.0–38.4 37%
39,0+ 37%
<37.0
16%
37,0–37,4
37%
37,5–37,9
37%
38.0–38.4
37%
38,5–38,9
36%
39,0+
37%
37,0–37,4 37%
37,5–37,9 37%
38.0–38.4 37%
39,0+ 37%
<37.0
16%
37,0–37,4
37%
37,5–37,9
37%
38.0–38.4
37%
38,5–38,9
36%
39,0+
37%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early August 2026, with averages near 37–39 percent amid a stalemated conflict with Iran and elevated gas prices weighing on public sentiment. Multiple surveys, including those from CNN, YouGov, and aggregator models, show net approval at or near second-term lows, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with foreign-policy handling and economic conditions. With the August 14 measurement only days away, limited new data releases or major events keep the distribution tightly clustered across the 37–39 percent bins. Separation could emerge from sudden shifts in energy markets, diplomatic breakthroughs or setbacks in the Iran situation, or fresh economic indicators released before the cutoff date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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