**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31, establishing it as the biggest domestic debut ever and propelling the film past $1.2 billion worldwide within days. Current tracking and analyst forecasts for its second weekend (August 7-9) center on $150-160 million, reflecting a typical 55-60% drop from the historic launch amid the late-summer corridor and strong competition-free positioning. Exceptional critical and audience scores (90% Tomatometer, 98% audience) plus record Tuesday earnings of $42 million support solid holds, yet the sheer size of the opening makes a sub-$180 million frame the overwhelming market consensus. An upset above $180 million would require unusually resilient word-of-mouth or outsized IMAX/premium-format performance to beat historical drop patterns for comparable event films.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 99.6%
180-190 millones <1%
190-200m <1%
200-210 millones <1%
$58,184 Vol.
$58,184 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<180m
100%
180-190 millones
<1%
190-200m
<1%
200-210 millones
<1%
210-220 millones
<1%
220 millones+
<1%
<180m 99.6%
180-190 millones <1%
190-200m <1%
200-210 millones <1%
$58,184 Vol.
$58,184 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<180m
$38,806 Vol.
100%
180-190 millones
$5,434 Vol.
<1%
190-200m
$4,010 Vol.
<1%
200-210 millones
$1,936 Vol.
<1%
210-220 millones
$3,503 Vol.
<1%
220 millones+
$4,495 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31, establishing it as the biggest domestic debut ever and propelling the film past $1.2 billion worldwide within days. Current tracking and analyst forecasts for its second weekend (August 7-9) center on $150-160 million, reflecting a typical 55-60% drop from the historic launch amid the late-summer corridor and strong competition-free positioning. Exceptional critical and audience scores (90% Tomatometer, 98% audience) plus record Tuesday earnings of $42 million support solid holds, yet the sheer size of the opening makes a sub-$180 million frame the overwhelming market consensus. An upset above $180 million would require unusually resilient word-of-mouth or outsized IMAX/premium-format performance to beat historical drop patterns for comparable event films.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volumen
$58,184Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31, establishing it as the biggest domestic debut ever and propelling the film past $1.2 billion worldwide within days. Current tracking and analyst forecasts for its second weekend (August 7-9) center on $150-160 million, reflecting a typical 55-60% drop from the historic launch amid the late-summer corridor and strong competition-free positioning. Exceptional critical and audience scores (90% Tomatometer, 98% audience) plus record Tuesday earnings of $42 million support solid holds, yet the sheer size of the opening makes a sub-$180 million frame the overwhelming market consensus. An upset above $180 million would require unusually resilient word-of-mouth or outsized IMAX/premium-format performance to beat historical drop patterns for comparable event films.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$58,184Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31, establishing it as the biggest domestic debut ever and propelling the film past $1.2 billion worldwide within days. Current tracking and analyst forecasts for its second weekend (August 7-9) center on $150-160 million, reflecting a typical 55-60% drop from the historic launch amid the late-summer corridor and strong competition-free positioning. Exceptional critical and audience scores (90% Tomatometer, 98% audience) plus record Tuesday earnings of $42 million support solid holds, yet the sheer size of the opening makes a sub-$180 million frame the overwhelming market consensus. An upset above $180 million would require unusually resilient word-of-mouth or outsized IMAX/premium-format performance to beat historical drop patterns for comparable event films.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿La taquilla del segundo fin de semana de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" estará entre 140 y 150 millones?
67%
Sí
¿Será la recaudación bruta total nacional de Spider-Man: Brand New Day de al menos 900 millones para el 31 de agosto?
62%
Sí
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?
44%
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes