Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed to March 2027, establishing the dominant trader consensus that no vote will occur before 2027. This shift stems from institutional delays in electoral preparations, disputes over timing, and the need to align processes after the November 2024 presidential contest. The three main parties—Kulmiye, Waddani, and UCID—face significant procedural and logistical barriers to an earlier poll, including commission timelines and security considerations in contested regions. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected acceleration through legislative action or international pressure, though historical patterns of repeated postponements in Somaliland suggest these remain unlikely within the current window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Somalilandia
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Somalilandia
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027 95%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID) 3.3%
Waddani 3.0%
Kulmiye 2.8%
$94,834 Vol.
$94,834 Vol.
30 dic 2026
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027
95%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID)
3%
Waddani
3%
Kulmiye
3%
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027 95%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID) 3.3%
Waddani 3.0%
Kulmiye 2.8%
$94,834 Vol.
$94,834 Vol.
30 dic 2026
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027
$84,975 Vol.
95%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID)
$4,279 Vol.
3%
Waddani
$2,522 Vol.
3%
Kulmiye
$3,058 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed to March 2027, establishing the dominant trader consensus that no vote will occur before 2027. This shift stems from institutional delays in electoral preparations, disputes over timing, and the need to align processes after the November 2024 presidential contest. The three main parties—Kulmiye, Waddani, and UCID—face significant procedural and logistical barriers to an earlier poll, including commission timelines and security considerations in contested regions. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected acceleration through legislative action or international pressure, though historical patterns of repeated postponements in Somaliland suggest these remain unlikely within the current window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Volumen
$94,834Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed to March 2027, establishing the dominant trader consensus that no vote will occur before 2027. This shift stems from institutional delays in electoral preparations, disputes over timing, and the need to align processes after the November 2024 presidential contest. The three main parties—Kulmiye, Waddani, and UCID—face significant procedural and logistical barriers to an earlier poll, including commission timelines and security considerations in contested regions. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected acceleration through legislative action or international pressure, though historical patterns of repeated postponements in Somaliland suggest these remain unlikely within the current window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Volumen
$94,834Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed to March 2027, establishing the dominant trader consensus that no vote will occur before 2027. This shift stems from institutional delays in electoral preparations, disputes over timing, and the need to align processes after the November 2024 presidential contest. The three main parties—Kulmiye, Waddani, and UCID—face significant procedural and logistical barriers to an earlier poll, including commission timelines and security considerations in contested regions. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected acceleration through legislative action or international pressure, though historical patterns of repeated postponements in Somaliland suggest these remain unlikely within the current window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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