Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a term extension in early 2026 that postponed the scheduled May parliamentary and local council elections until March 2027, citing security concerns, technical preparation shortfalls, and drought conditions. This official delay, building on a pattern of prior postponements, has anchored trader consensus around the absence of any vote before 2027. The three recognized parties—UCID, Kulmiye, and Waddani—remain positioned for the later contest, yet face no immediate electoral test. An earlier ballot would require reversal of the extension by the Guurti or National Electoral Commission, an outcome viewed as improbable absent major shifts in security or institutional consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Somalilandia
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Somalilandia
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027 95%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID) 3.2%
Waddani 2.8%
Kulmiye 2.5%
$94,834 Vol.
$94,834 Vol.
30 dic 2026
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027
95%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID)
3%
Waddani
3%
Kulmiye
3%
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027 95%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID) 3.2%
Waddani 2.8%
Kulmiye 2.5%
$94,834 Vol.
$94,834 Vol.
30 dic 2026
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027
$84,975 Vol.
95%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID)
$4,279 Vol.
3%
Waddani
$2,522 Vol.
3%
Kulmiye
$3,058 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a term extension in early 2026 that postponed the scheduled May parliamentary and local council elections until March 2027, citing security concerns, technical preparation shortfalls, and drought conditions. This official delay, building on a pattern of prior postponements, has anchored trader consensus around the absence of any vote before 2027. The three recognized parties—UCID, Kulmiye, and Waddani—remain positioned for the later contest, yet face no immediate electoral test. An earlier ballot would require reversal of the extension by the Guurti or National Electoral Commission, an outcome viewed as improbable absent major shifts in security or institutional consensus.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Volumen
$94,834Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a term extension in early 2026 that postponed the scheduled May parliamentary and local council elections until March 2027, citing security concerns, technical preparation shortfalls, and drought conditions. This official delay, building on a pattern of prior postponements, has anchored trader consensus around the absence of any vote before 2027. The three recognized parties—UCID, Kulmiye, and Waddani—remain positioned for the later contest, yet face no immediate electoral test. An earlier ballot would require reversal of the extension by the Guurti or National Electoral Commission, an outcome viewed as improbable absent major shifts in security or institutional consensus.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Volumen
$94,834Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a term extension in early 2026 that postponed the scheduled May parliamentary and local council elections until March 2027, citing security concerns, technical preparation shortfalls, and drought conditions. This official delay, building on a pattern of prior postponements, has anchored trader consensus around the absence of any vote before 2027. The three recognized parties—UCID, Kulmiye, and Waddani—remain positioned for the later contest, yet face no immediate electoral test. An earlier ballot would require reversal of the extension by the Guurti or National Electoral Commission, an outcome viewed as improbable absent major shifts in security or institutional consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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