Recent polling shows New People gaining ground in telephone surveys from state-linked firms like VCIOM, often placing it near or ahead of LDPR and KPRF, while face-to-face results from FOM indicate more traditional support for the nationalists and communists. This methodological variance, combined with New People's focus on moderate economic and regional issues that resonate with younger voters, sustains uncertainty over the order behind United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma party-list vote. LDPR draws on established nationalist networks and organizational depth, KPRF retains a core base despite softer recent numbers, and limited late shifts in campaign visibility or turnout patterns among systemic opposition supporters could still reorder the finish for third. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap in available evidence ahead of the election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNew People (NL) 41%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 14%
Yabloko 1.4%
$57,289 Vol.
$57,289 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
14%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
41%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
New People (NL) 41%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 14%
Yabloko 1.4%
$57,289 Vol.
$57,289 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
14%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
41%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows New People gaining ground in telephone surveys from state-linked firms like VCIOM, often placing it near or ahead of LDPR and KPRF, while face-to-face results from FOM indicate more traditional support for the nationalists and communists. This methodological variance, combined with New People's focus on moderate economic and regional issues that resonate with younger voters, sustains uncertainty over the order behind United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma party-list vote. LDPR draws on established nationalist networks and organizational depth, KPRF retains a core base despite softer recent numbers, and limited late shifts in campaign visibility or turnout patterns among systemic opposition supporters could still reorder the finish for third. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap in available evidence ahead of the election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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