Paul Giamatti stands as the market favorite at 49.5% implied probability for the 2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar, reflecting traders' emphasis on his established awards pedigree and overdue narrative after prior nominations. The wide field of contenders—including Robert Pattinson, Guy Pearce, John Goodman, Sam Rockwell, and Edward Norton at single-digit odds—highlights intense early uncertainty ahead of full 2026 release schedules and festival screenings. Differentiating factors include project visibility in prestige ensembles, critical reception for breakout or veteran turns, and historical Academy patterns favoring experienced performers in supporting roles. Key upcoming catalysts such as guild nominations and precursor awards will likely sharpen the race among these closely matched options.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 53%
Robert Pattinson 8.9%
Guy Pearce 9%
John Goodman 8%
$15,442 Vol.
$15,442 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
53%

Robert Pattinson
9%

Guy Pearce
9%

John Goodman
8%

Sam Rockwell
6%

Edward Norton
5%

Miles Teller
4%

Robert De Niro
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Travis Scott
3%

Colman Domingo
3%

Michael Fassbender
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Adam Scott
2%

Charles Melton
1%

James Ortiz
1%
Paul Giamatti 53%
Robert Pattinson 8.9%
Guy Pearce 9%
John Goodman 8%
$15,442 Vol.
$15,442 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
53%

Robert Pattinson
9%

Guy Pearce
9%

John Goodman
8%

Sam Rockwell
6%

Edward Norton
5%

Miles Teller
4%

Robert De Niro
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Travis Scott
3%

Colman Domingo
3%

Michael Fassbender
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Adam Scott
2%

Charles Melton
1%

James Ortiz
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul Giamatti stands as the market favorite at 49.5% implied probability for the 2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar, reflecting traders' emphasis on his established awards pedigree and overdue narrative after prior nominations. The wide field of contenders—including Robert Pattinson, Guy Pearce, John Goodman, Sam Rockwell, and Edward Norton at single-digit odds—highlights intense early uncertainty ahead of full 2026 release schedules and festival screenings. Differentiating factors include project visibility in prestige ensembles, critical reception for breakout or veteran turns, and historical Academy patterns favoring experienced performers in supporting roles. Key upcoming catalysts such as guild nominations and precursor awards will likely sharpen the race among these closely matched options.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes