**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** holds a commanding 74.5% market-implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Variety Series race, reflecting strong trader consensus around its final-season momentum and record nine nominations. The show's May 2026 conclusion after CBS canceled the traditional late-night format generated industry sympathy and positioned it as a sentimental frontrunner, amplified by the Television Academy's new area-award rules that judge each nominee on individual merit rather than direct competition. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver sits at 8.5% as the historical category leader, while Jimmy Kimmel Live! (4.5%), Saturday Night Live (2.5%), and The Daily Show (2.2%) trail amid the unified field. With final-round voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, the market prices in the likelihood of multiple possible winners under the updated 90% approval threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEmmy 2026: Serie de variedades destacada
Emmy 2026: Serie de variedades destacada
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 8.4%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 4.3%
“Saturday Night Live” 2.4%
$108,354 Vol.
$108,354 Vol.
14 sep 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
8%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
4%
“Saturday Night Live”
2%
“The Daily Show”
2%
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 8.4%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 4.3%
“Saturday Night Live” 2.4%
$108,354 Vol.
$108,354 Vol.
14 sep 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
$35,484 Vol.
75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
$20,634 Vol.
8%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
$25,487 Vol.
4%
“Saturday Night Live”
$12,864 Vol.
2%
“The Daily Show”
$13,886 Vol.
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** holds a commanding 74.5% market-implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Variety Series race, reflecting strong trader consensus around its final-season momentum and record nine nominations. The show's May 2026 conclusion after CBS canceled the traditional late-night format generated industry sympathy and positioned it as a sentimental frontrunner, amplified by the Television Academy's new area-award rules that judge each nominee on individual merit rather than direct competition. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver sits at 8.5% as the historical category leader, while Jimmy Kimmel Live! (4.5%), Saturday Night Live (2.5%), and The Daily Show (2.2%) trail amid the unified field. With final-round voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, the market prices in the likelihood of multiple possible winners under the updated 90% approval threshold.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Volumen
$108,354Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** holds a commanding 74.5% market-implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Variety Series race, reflecting strong trader consensus around its final-season momentum and record nine nominations. The show's May 2026 conclusion after CBS canceled the traditional late-night format generated industry sympathy and positioned it as a sentimental frontrunner, amplified by the Television Academy's new area-award rules that judge each nominee on individual merit rather than direct competition. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver sits at 8.5% as the historical category leader, while Jimmy Kimmel Live! (4.5%), Saturday Night Live (2.5%), and The Daily Show (2.2%) trail amid the unified field. With final-round voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, the market prices in the likelihood of multiple possible winners under the updated 90% approval threshold.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$108,354Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** holds a commanding 74.5% market-implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Variety Series race, reflecting strong trader consensus around its final-season momentum and record nine nominations. The show's May 2026 conclusion after CBS canceled the traditional late-night format generated industry sympathy and positioned it as a sentimental frontrunner, amplified by the Television Academy's new area-award rules that judge each nominee on individual merit rather than direct competition. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver sits at 8.5% as the historical category leader, while Jimmy Kimmel Live! (4.5%), Saturday Night Live (2.5%), and The Daily Show (2.2%) trail amid the unified field. With final-round voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, the market prices in the likelihood of multiple possible winners under the updated 90% approval threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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