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icon for ¿Nigel Farage como líder de la Reforma del Reino Unido en 2026?

¿Nigel Farage como líder de la Reforma del Reino Unido en 2026?

icon for ¿Nigel Farage como líder de la Reforma del Reino Unido en 2026?

¿Nigel Farage como líder de la Reforma del Reino Unido en 2026?

$245,342 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$245,342 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 31 de diciembre de 2026

31 de diciembre de 2026

$245,142 Vol.

16%

icon for 31 de marzo de 2027

31 de marzo de 2027

$200 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Nigel Farage continues as Reform UK leader following his July 2026 resignation as Clacton MP amid parliamentary scrutiny over undeclared donations, which he addressed by winning the subsequent by-election. His public profile has lowered since the May 2026 local elections that contributed to Keir Starmer’s departure and Andy Burnham’s premiership, with Reform’s polling averages and Farage’s personal ratings reaching multi-month lows. The party maintains limited parliamentary representation while positioning for future contests, though no formal leadership challenge or succession process has advanced. Scheduled events such as potential by-elections or internal party reviews could influence stability, but current dynamics center on post-controversy consolidation rather than imminent change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$245,342
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 24, 2026, 5:42 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Nigel Farage continues as Reform UK leader following his July 2026 resignation as Clacton MP amid parliamentary scrutiny over undeclared donations, which he addressed by winning the subsequent by-election. His public profile has lowered since the May 2026 local elections that contributed to Keir Starmer’s departure and Andy Burnham’s premiership, with Reform’s polling averages and Farage’s personal ratings reaching multi-month lows. The party maintains limited parliamentary representation while positioning for future contests, though no formal leadership challenge or succession process has advanced. Scheduled events such as potential by-elections or internal party reviews could influence stability, but current dynamics center on post-controversy consolidation rather than imminent change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$245,342
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 24, 2026, 5:42 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Nigel Farage como líder de la Reforma del Reino Unido en 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de marzo de 2027" con 29%, seguido de "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 29¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 29% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Nigel Farage como líder de la Reforma del Reino Unido en 2026?" ha generado $245.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Nigel Farage como líder de la Reforma del Reino Unido en 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Nigel Farage como líder de la Reforma del Reino Unido en 2026?" es "31 de marzo de 2027" con 29%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 29% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Nigel Farage como líder de la Reforma del Reino Unido en 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.