Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the Parti Québécois, which maintains a narrow edge in recent polling averages ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec government and the party’s consistent strength in francophone regions. Christine Fréchette, who became CAQ leader and premier in April after François Legault’s January resignation, has seen her party’s support stabilize near 20 percent amid criticism of early spending announcements and lingering effects from the prior administration. Charles Milliard, who assumed Liberal leadership by acclamation in February, trails closely in some surveys and benefits from potential non-francophone and Montreal-area consolidation but lacks a seat in the National Assembly and broader momentum. Smaller-party figures including Ruba Ghazal and Éric Duhaime register minimal support. The current trader consensus aligns with these electoral dynamics and the absence of major late shifts in party standings or leadership events.