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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elecciones·Francia

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elecciones·Francia

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$296,317 Vol.

16 abr 2027
Polymarket

$296,317 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$8,680 Vol.

95%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$25,484 Vol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$6,973 Vol.

86%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$14,452 Vol.

85%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$3,614 Vol.

81%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$9,482 Vol.

77%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,826 Vol.

62%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$7,957 Vol.

57%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,597 Vol.

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$6,773 Vol.

56%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,860 Vol.

43%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$14,209 Vol.

42%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$11,296 Vol.

31%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$9,956 Vol.

31%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$10,217 Vol.

31%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$6,992 Vol.

27%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$6,602 Vol.

15%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$21,455 Vol.

13%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$5,011 Vol.

13%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$9,453 Vol.

12%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$8,504 Vol.

12%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$4,697 Vol.

10%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,161 Vol.

8%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$3,119 Vol.

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,341 Vol.

8%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$7,983 Vol.

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,824 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,596 Vol.

7%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$12,661 Vol.

6%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,018 Vol.

6%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$1,075 Vol.

6%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$3,609 Vol.

5%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$681 Vol.

5%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$595 Vol.

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$4,400 Vol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$364 Vol.

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,598 Vol.

3%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$3,088 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$1,934 Vol.

3%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$6,512 Vol.

3%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$20,160 Vol.

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$2,849 Vol.

3%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$829 Vol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$994 Vol.

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,236 Vol.

2%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$3,599 Vol.

34%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Marine Le Pen's July 2026 appeal ruling shortened her eligibility ban, enabling her declared candidacy for the National Rally despite prior conviction, while Jordan Bardella remains a leading alternative or successor in polls. Emmanuel Macron's term-limit ineligibility opens the field under France's two-round system, where candidates need 500 parrainages from elected officials across departments. A record number of potential contenders—around 30—reflects opposition fragmentation, especially on the left with the scheduled October 2026 United Left primary amid tensions between La France Insoumise and moderates, and on the center-right with figures like Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal. These dynamics, alongside RN polling strength, shape early trader focus on ballot qualification and frontrunner positioning ahead of April 2027 voting.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$296,317
Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Marine Le Pen's July 2026 appeal ruling shortened her eligibility ban, enabling her declared candidacy for the National Rally despite prior conviction, while Jordan Bardella remains a leading alternative or successor in polls. Emmanuel Macron's term-limit ineligibility opens the field under France's two-round system, where candidates need 500 parrainages from elected officials across departments. A record number of potential contenders—around 30—reflects opposition fragmentation, especially on the left with the scheduled October 2026 United Left primary amid tensions between La France Insoumise and moderates, and on the center-right with figures like Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal. These dynamics, alongside RN polling strength, shape early trader focus on ballot qualification and frontrunner positioning ahead of April 2027 voting.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$296,317
Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 46+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" con 95%, seguido de "Marine Le Pen" con 88%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ha generado $296.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 22, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?", explora los 46+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" es "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marine Le Pen" con 88%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.