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Política·Elecciones Francesas

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Política·Elecciones Francesas

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$85,895 Vol.

29 abr 2027
Polymarket

$85,895 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$8,855 Vol.

87%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1,971 Vol.

52%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$5,570 Vol.

43%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$18,415 Vol.

12%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$42 Vol.

11%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$58 Vol.

6%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$466 Vol.

6%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$2,173 Vol.

6%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,831 Vol.

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$638 Vol.

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$129 Vol.

5%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$251 Vol.

4%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,114 Vol.

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$1,086 Vol.

4%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,127 Vol.

4%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,257 Vol.

4%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$643 Vol.

4%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$829 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,011 Vol.

3%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$631 Vol.

3%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$2,349 Vol.

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$2,043 Vol.

3%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$4,774 Vol.

2%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$1,825 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,672 Vol.

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$1,005 Vol.

2%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,768 Vol.

2%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,111 Vol.

2%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,147 Vol.

2%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,559 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$2,962 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,537 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,230 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,286 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$1,613 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,807 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent opinion polls position Marine Le Pen of the National Rally (RN) as the clear first-round leader at around 35%, reflecting sustained support for the party's platform on immigration, EU skepticism, and economic nationalism amid a fragmented field. Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal trail in the mid-teens on the center-right, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon draws comparable backing on the radical left; both camps face internal divisions and a crowded slate of potential candidates. Le Pen's July 2026 candidacy announcement and ongoing appeal of her embezzlement conviction have not shifted her polling lead. The first round is set for April 18, 2027, with a United Left primary scheduled for October 2026 that could consolidate opposition votes and alter runoff pairings. Trader consensus on advancement therefore hinges on whether RN retains its structural advantage or faces a unified challenger.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$85,895
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent opinion polls position Marine Le Pen of the National Rally (RN) as the clear first-round leader at around 35%, reflecting sustained support for the party's platform on immigration, EU skepticism, and economic nationalism amid a fragmented field. Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal trail in the mid-teens on the center-right, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon draws comparable backing on the radical left; both camps face internal divisions and a crowded slate of potential candidates. Le Pen's July 2026 candidacy announcement and ongoing appeal of her embezzlement conviction have not shifted her polling lead. The first round is set for April 18, 2027, with a United Left primary scheduled for October 2026 that could consolidate opposition votes and alter runoff pairings. Trader consensus on advancement therefore hinges on whether RN retains its structural advantage or faces a unified challenger.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$85,895
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 36 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Marine Le Pen" con 87%, seguido de "Édouard Philippe" con 52%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 87¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ha generado $85.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?", explora los 36 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" es "Marine Le Pen" con 87%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Édouard Philippe" con 52%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.