Recent August 2026 polling shows the National Party and Labour Party locked in a tight contest for the top two spots ahead of the November 7 election, with party-vote shares fluctuating between roughly 29-34 percent for each in successive surveys. National's recent internal leadership tensions, including Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's survival of a second confidence vote, have coincided with mixed results that keep both major parties competitive for first place. This dynamic underpins trader pricing that places National and Labour as the near-certain contenders for second. Smaller parties trail significantly in the same polls and register only marginal probabilities for finishing second. Scheduled events within the resolution window, including ongoing campaign developments and final pre-election surveys, remain the primary variables that could still shift the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 53%
Labour Party 42%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$17,916 Vol.
$17,916 Vol.
7 nov 2026
National Party
53%
Labour Party
42%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
National Party 53%
Labour Party 42%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$17,916 Vol.
$17,916 Vol.
7 nov 2026
National Party
$8,882 Vol.
53%
Labour Party
$4,789 Vol.
42%
New Zealand First Party
$1,262 Vol.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,199 Vol.
1%
Green Party
$542 Vol.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent August 2026 polling shows the National Party and Labour Party locked in a tight contest for the top two spots ahead of the November 7 election, with party-vote shares fluctuating between roughly 29-34 percent for each in successive surveys. National's recent internal leadership tensions, including Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's survival of a second confidence vote, have coincided with mixed results that keep both major parties competitive for first place. This dynamic underpins trader pricing that places National and Labour as the near-certain contenders for second. Smaller parties trail significantly in the same polls and register only marginal probabilities for finishing second. Scheduled events within the resolution window, including ongoing campaign developments and final pre-election surveys, remain the primary variables that could still shift the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Volumen
$17,916Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent August 2026 polling shows the National Party and Labour Party locked in a tight contest for the top two spots ahead of the November 7 election, with party-vote shares fluctuating between roughly 29-34 percent for each in successive surveys. National's recent internal leadership tensions, including Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's survival of a second confidence vote, have coincided with mixed results that keep both major parties competitive for first place. This dynamic underpins trader pricing that places National and Labour as the near-certain contenders for second. Smaller parties trail significantly in the same polls and register only marginal probabilities for finishing second. Scheduled events within the resolution window, including ongoing campaign developments and final pre-election surveys, remain the primary variables that could still shift the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volumen
$17,916Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 polling shows the National Party and Labour Party locked in a tight contest for the top two spots ahead of the November 7 election, with party-vote shares fluctuating between roughly 29-34 percent for each in successive surveys. National's recent internal leadership tensions, including Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's survival of a second confidence vote, have coincided with mixed results that keep both major parties competitive for first place. This dynamic underpins trader pricing that places National and Labour as the near-certain contenders for second. Smaller parties trail significantly in the same polls and register only marginal probabilities for finishing second. Scheduled events within the resolution window, including ongoing campaign developments and final pre-election surveys, remain the primary variables that could still shift the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
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Labour
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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