Recent polls place the AfD at 35-36% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, with the SPD at 28-29% and smaller parties near or below the 5% threshold. This support level produces closely bunched seat projections in the 24-35 range because final turnout, minor-party performance, and the mechanics of overhang and leveling seats can shift the AfD total by several mandates. The SPD’s modest recent gains have narrowed but not closed the gap, while other parties’ refusal to cooperate with the AfD limits coalition scenarios yet does not alter the underlying seat math. These factors sustain tight trader pricing across the leading bands and leave room for separation if late-campaign dynamics alter vote shares or participation rates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado28-31 34%
24-27 33%
32-35 19%
20-23 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
<20
4%
20-23
13%
24-27
33%
28-31
34%
32-35
19%
36+
4%
28-31 34%
24-27 33%
32-35 19%
20-23 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
<20
$55 Vol.
4%
20-23
$5 Vol.
13%
24-27
$5 Vol.
33%
28-31
$125 Vol.
34%
32-35
$110 Vol.
19%
36+
$166 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls place the AfD at 35-36% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, with the SPD at 28-29% and smaller parties near or below the 5% threshold. This support level produces closely bunched seat projections in the 24-35 range because final turnout, minor-party performance, and the mechanics of overhang and leveling seats can shift the AfD total by several mandates. The SPD’s modest recent gains have narrowed but not closed the gap, while other parties’ refusal to cooperate with the AfD limits coalition scenarios yet does not alter the underlying seat math. These factors sustain tight trader pricing across the leading bands and leave room for separation if late-campaign dynamics alter vote shares or participation rates.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Volumen
$467Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls place the AfD at 35-36% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, with the SPD at 28-29% and smaller parties near or below the 5% threshold. This support level produces closely bunched seat projections in the 24-35 range because final turnout, minor-party performance, and the mechanics of overhang and leveling seats can shift the AfD total by several mandates. The SPD’s modest recent gains have narrowed but not closed the gap, while other parties’ refusal to cooperate with the AfD limits coalition scenarios yet does not alter the underlying seat math. These factors sustain tight trader pricing across the leading bands and leave room for separation if late-campaign dynamics alter vote shares or participation rates.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volumen
$467Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place the AfD at 35-36% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, with the SPD at 28-29% and smaller parties near or below the 5% threshold. This support level produces closely bunched seat projections in the 24-35 range because final turnout, minor-party performance, and the mechanics of overhang and leveling seats can shift the AfD total by several mandates. The SPD’s modest recent gains have narrowed but not closed the gap, while other parties’ refusal to cooperate with the AfD limits coalition scenarios yet does not alter the underlying seat math. These factors sustain tight trader pricing across the leading bands and leave room for separation if late-campaign dynamics alter vote shares or participation rates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
50%
¿Ganaré AfD la mayor cantidad de escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias de Mecklemburgo-Pomerania Occidental de 2026?
84%
Sí
¿Obtendrá Linke la tercera mayor cantidad de escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias de Mecklemburgo-Pomerania Occidental de 2026?
64%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes