Current forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency project an overnight low of 23–24°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by lingering summer warmth, elevated humidity near 80–90%, and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent southerly flow and the urban heat island effect further moderate temperature drops, keeping minima above the early-September climatological average of roughly 22°C. Recent model runs show little shift from late-August patterns, with only modest rain chances not expected to alter the low substantially. This consensus underpins trader focus on the 24°C (47%) and 25°C (37%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for cooler thresholds reflect the low likelihood of rapid cooling without a stronger frontal passage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 1 de septiembre?
24°C 47%
25°C 37%
20°C 12%
26°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
12%
21°C
5%
22°C
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
47%
25°C
37%
26°C
10%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 47%
25°C 37%
20°C 12%
26°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
19°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
20°C
$51 Vol.
12%
21°C
$155 Vol.
5%
22°C
$41 Vol.
6%
23°C
$84 Vol.
6%
24°C
$6 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
37%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency project an overnight low of 23–24°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by lingering summer warmth, elevated humidity near 80–90%, and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent southerly flow and the urban heat island effect further moderate temperature drops, keeping minima above the early-September climatological average of roughly 22°C. Recent model runs show little shift from late-August patterns, with only modest rain chances not expected to alter the low substantially. This consensus underpins trader focus on the 24°C (47%) and 25°C (37%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for cooler thresholds reflect the low likelihood of rapid cooling without a stronger frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$347Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency project an overnight low of 23–24°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by lingering summer warmth, elevated humidity near 80–90%, and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent southerly flow and the urban heat island effect further moderate temperature drops, keeping minima above the early-September climatological average of roughly 22°C. Recent model runs show little shift from late-August patterns, with only modest rain chances not expected to alter the low substantially. This consensus underpins trader focus on the 24°C (47%) and 25°C (37%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for cooler thresholds reflect the low likelihood of rapid cooling without a stronger frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$347Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency project an overnight low of 23–24°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by lingering summer warmth, elevated humidity near 80–90%, and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent southerly flow and the urban heat island effect further moderate temperature drops, keeping minima above the early-September climatological average of roughly 22°C. Recent model runs show little shift from late-August patterns, with only modest rain chances not expected to alter the low substantially. This consensus underpins trader focus on the 24°C (47%) and 25°C (37%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for cooler thresholds reflect the low likelihood of rapid cooling without a stronger frontal passage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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