**Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models indicate a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Tokyo on August 31, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 47%, 23°C at 35.5%).** Overnight conditions are expected to feature mostly cloudy skies, easterly winds of 3–6 mph, and high humidity (around 80–95%), which limit radiational cooling. Light winds from the ocean moderate temperatures, while cloud cover traps heat near the surface. Recent developments include a weak frontal passage and rain on August 29 that produced a cooler low of 19.6°C, followed by stabilization as the pattern shifts to typical late-summer maritime influence. Model consensus across sources (JMA, WeatherBug, Met Office) points to overnight lows holding near 23–24°C, with limited downside risk absent a stronger high-pressure setup or clearer skies. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow forecast range, with probabilities concentrated on the two most likely bins while assigning minimal weight to outliers below 22°C or above 25°C. Official JMA station data will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 31 de agosto?
24°C 48%
23°C 21%
22°C 8%
26°C 1.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
8%
23°C
35%
24°C
48%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 21%
22°C 8%
26°C 1.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
20°C or below
$171 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$211 Vol.
8%
23°C
$718 Vol.
35%
24°C
$324 Vol.
48%
25°C
$1,427 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$208 Vol.
1%
27°C
$306 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$544 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models indicate a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Tokyo on August 31, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 47%, 23°C at 35.5%).**
Overnight conditions are expected to feature mostly cloudy skies, easterly winds of 3–6 mph, and high humidity (around 80–95%), which limit radiational cooling. Light winds from the ocean moderate temperatures, while cloud cover traps heat near the surface. Recent developments include a weak frontal passage and rain on August 29 that produced a cooler low of 19.6°C, followed by stabilization as the pattern shifts to typical late-summer maritime influence. Model consensus across sources (JMA, WeatherBug, Met Office) points to overnight lows holding near 23–24°C, with limited downside risk absent a stronger high-pressure setup or clearer skies.
Trader sentiment reflects this narrow forecast range, with probabilities concentrated on the two most likely bins while assigning minimal weight to outliers below 22°C or above 25°C. Official JMA station data will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$4,383Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models indicate a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Tokyo on August 31, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 47%, 23°C at 35.5%).**
Overnight conditions are expected to feature mostly cloudy skies, easterly winds of 3–6 mph, and high humidity (around 80–95%), which limit radiational cooling. Light winds from the ocean moderate temperatures, while cloud cover traps heat near the surface. Recent developments include a weak frontal passage and rain on August 29 that produced a cooler low of 19.6°C, followed by stabilization as the pattern shifts to typical late-summer maritime influence. Model consensus across sources (JMA, WeatherBug, Met Office) points to overnight lows holding near 23–24°C, with limited downside risk absent a stronger high-pressure setup or clearer skies.
Trader sentiment reflects this narrow forecast range, with probabilities concentrated on the two most likely bins while assigning minimal weight to outliers below 22°C or above 25°C. Official JMA station data will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,383Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models indicate a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Tokyo on August 31, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 47%, 23°C at 35.5%).** Overnight conditions are expected to feature mostly cloudy skies, easterly winds of 3–6 mph, and high humidity (around 80–95%), which limit radiational cooling. Light winds from the ocean moderate temperatures, while cloud cover traps heat near the surface. Recent developments include a weak frontal passage and rain on August 29 that produced a cooler low of 19.6°C, followed by stabilization as the pattern shifts to typical late-summer maritime influence. Model consensus across sources (JMA, WeatherBug, Met Office) points to overnight lows holding near 23–24°C, with limited downside risk absent a stronger high-pressure setup or clearer skies. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow forecast range, with probabilities concentrated on the two most likely bins while assigning minimal weight to outliers below 22°C or above 25°C. Official JMA station data will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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