Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 5 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical moisture, high humidity near 80–90%, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling. Cloud cover and scattered showers through the evening have further moderated temperature drops, aligning with climatological norms for early September when daily lows rarely dip below 25°C without a strong frontal passage. Updated model runs show little deviation from these values, keeping 27°C as the market leader at 66% implied probability while assigning only modest weight to 26°C. No significant synoptic changes, such as typhoon influences or cold-air intrusions, have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 5 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 5 de septiembre?
24°C 10%
22°C 9%
23°C 9%
21°C o menos 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
21°C o menos
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
10%
25°C
1%
26°C
34%
27°C
66%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superior
<1%
24°C 10%
22°C 9%
23°C 9%
21°C o menos 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$22 Vol.
2%
22°C
$12 Vol.
9%
23°C
$12 Vol.
9%
24°C
$152 Vol.
10%
25°C
$116 Vol.
1%
26°C
$100 Vol.
34%
27°C
$232 Vol.
66%
28°C
$1,125 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,101 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$591 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superior
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 5 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical moisture, high humidity near 80–90%, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling. Cloud cover and scattered showers through the evening have further moderated temperature drops, aligning with climatological norms for early September when daily lows rarely dip below 25°C without a strong frontal passage. Updated model runs show little deviation from these values, keeping 27°C as the market leader at 66% implied probability while assigning only modest weight to 26°C. No significant synoptic changes, such as typhoon influences or cold-air intrusions, have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$3,508Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 5 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical moisture, high humidity near 80–90%, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling. Cloud cover and scattered showers through the evening have further moderated temperature drops, aligning with climatological norms for early September when daily lows rarely dip below 25°C without a strong frontal passage. Updated model runs show little deviation from these values, keeping 27°C as the market leader at 66% implied probability while assigning only modest weight to 26°C. No significant synoptic changes, such as typhoon influences or cold-air intrusions, have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,508Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 5 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical moisture, high humidity near 80–90%, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling. Cloud cover and scattered showers through the evening have further moderated temperature drops, aligning with climatological norms for early September when daily lows rarely dip below 25°C without a strong frontal passage. Updated model runs show little deviation from these values, keeping 27°C as the market leader at 66% implied probability while assigning only modest weight to 26°C. No significant synoptic changes, such as typhoon influences or cold-air intrusions, have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes