Current forecasts from meteorological models point to Shanghai's overnight low on August 10 falling in the 26–27°C range, as persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions, typical of the East Asian summer monsoon, reduce the temperature drop after daytime highs around 28–30°C, with the boundary layer remaining relatively warm due to trapped moisture and weak winds. Minor differences between the leading outcomes hinge on precise timing of any rainfall and model variations in low-level mixing; clearer skies or stronger breezes could allow a dip toward 25°C, while thicker clouds would favor 27°C or slightly higher. Historical August minima for the period average near 26°C, providing context for the tight market clustering around these values. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 10 de agosto?
27°C 44%
26°C 35%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
35%
27°C
44%
28°C
9%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
27°C 44%
26°C 35%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
35%
27°C
44%
28°C
9%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models point to Shanghai's overnight low on August 10 falling in the 26–27°C range, as persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions, typical of the East Asian summer monsoon, reduce the temperature drop after daytime highs around 28–30°C, with the boundary layer remaining relatively warm due to trapped moisture and weak winds. Minor differences between the leading outcomes hinge on precise timing of any rainfall and model variations in low-level mixing; clearer skies or stronger breezes could allow a dip toward 25°C, while thicker clouds would favor 27°C or slightly higher. Historical August minima for the period average near 26°C, providing context for the tight market clustering around these values. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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