Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate that cloud cover, light precipitation, and moderate westerly winds will limit overnight radiative cooling across the Seoul-Incheon region on September 1, supporting minimum temperatures near 22–23°C. Persistent humidity and a passing frontal boundary are suppressing stronger cooling that might otherwise occur under clear skies, while model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS shows little deviation from these values. Historical early-September climatology for Incheon places typical lows around 20–22°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 22°C and 23°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 1 de septiembre?
23°C 47%
22°C 32%
21°C 7%
24°C 6%
18°C o menos
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
32%
23°C
47%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C o más
1%
23°C 47%
22°C 32%
21°C 7%
24°C 6%
18°C o menos
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
32%
23°C
47%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate that cloud cover, light precipitation, and moderate westerly winds will limit overnight radiative cooling across the Seoul-Incheon region on September 1, supporting minimum temperatures near 22–23°C. Persistent humidity and a passing frontal boundary are suppressing stronger cooling that might otherwise occur under clear skies, while model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS shows little deviation from these values. Historical early-September climatology for Incheon places typical lows around 20–22°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 22°C and 23°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes