Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall from an approaching stationary front are keeping overnight lows in Incheon near 22–24°C on August 31, with official KMA guidance and ensemble models showing a minimum around 22°C under saturated conditions and light easterly winds. High humidity near 95–100% and continuous precipitation limit radiative cooling, while model spreads in exact rain timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22°C (33%) and 24°C (25%). Historical late-August baselines average 21–23°C, but the current moist airmass favors slightly warmer minima than clear-sky scenarios. Updated NWP runs and any breaks in cloud cover ahead of landfall timing could shift resolution probabilities before midnight local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 31 de agosto?
22°C 33%
23°C 23%
24°C 14%
21°C 7%
18°C o menos
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
13%
22°C
33%
23°C
23%
24°C
27%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
22°C 33%
23°C 23%
24°C 14%
21°C 7%
18°C o menos
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
13%
22°C
33%
23°C
23%
24°C
27%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall from an approaching stationary front are keeping overnight lows in Incheon near 22–24°C on August 31, with official KMA guidance and ensemble models showing a minimum around 22°C under saturated conditions and light easterly winds. High humidity near 95–100% and continuous precipitation limit radiative cooling, while model spreads in exact rain timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22°C (33%) and 24°C (25%). Historical late-August baselines average 21–23°C, but the current moist airmass favors slightly warmer minima than clear-sky scenarios. Updated NWP runs and any breaks in cloud cover ahead of landfall timing could shift resolution probabilities before midnight local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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