Forecasts from models and PAGASA indicate Manila's overnight low on September 11 will likely settle near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity (around 90%+) limiting radiative cooling. This typical rainy-season pattern keeps diurnal ranges narrow, as daytime maxima hover near 29°C and nighttime temperatures rarely dip below 24°C without clear skies or drier air intrusions. Trader odds remain closely split, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds and potential local variations or model spread on storm timing. Historical September baselines show similar conditions, with rare excursions below 22°C or above 27°C at night. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely clarify steering patterns and rainfall intensity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 11 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 11 de septiembre?
30°C o más 68%
20°C o menos 64%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
20°C o menos
64%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
22%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C
40%
30°C o más
68%
30°C o más 68%
20°C o menos 64%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
20°C o menos
$0 Vol.
64%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
40%
29°C
$0 Vol.
40%
30°C o más
$0 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from models and PAGASA indicate Manila's overnight low on September 11 will likely settle near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity (around 90%+) limiting radiative cooling. This typical rainy-season pattern keeps diurnal ranges narrow, as daytime maxima hover near 29°C and nighttime temperatures rarely dip below 24°C without clear skies or drier air intrusions. Trader odds remain closely split, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds and potential local variations or model spread on storm timing. Historical September baselines show similar conditions, with rare excursions below 22°C or above 27°C at night. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely clarify steering patterns and rainfall intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from models and PAGASA indicate Manila's overnight low on September 11 will likely settle near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity (around 90%+) limiting radiative cooling. This typical rainy-season pattern keeps diurnal ranges narrow, as daytime maxima hover near 29°C and nighttime temperatures rarely dip below 24°C without clear skies or drier air intrusions. Trader odds remain closely split, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds and potential local variations or model spread on storm timing. Historical September baselines show similar conditions, with rare excursions below 22°C or above 27°C at night. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely clarify steering patterns and rainfall intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from models and PAGASA indicate Manila's overnight low on September 11 will likely settle near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity (around 90%+) limiting radiative cooling. This typical rainy-season pattern keeps diurnal ranges narrow, as daytime maxima hover near 29°C and nighttime temperatures rarely dip below 24°C without clear skies or drier air intrusions. Trader odds remain closely split, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds and potential local variations or model spread on storm timing. Historical September baselines show similar conditions, with rare excursions below 22°C or above 27°C at night. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely clarify steering patterns and rainfall intensity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes