**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature in the upper 70s on September 6, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 78-79°F (45%) and 76-77°F (33%).** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple models indicate overnight lows near 78°F for the night of September 5–6, with the daily minimum on the 6th expected in a similar range under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. Persistent high humidity from Gulf moisture, combined with the absence of a strong cold front, supports these elevated readings—well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 75°F for the date. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with limited cooling potential before sunrise, though any earlier clearing or slightly stronger winds could nudge the low a degree or two lower. Traders appear to be weighting the current warm, stable pattern heavily, producing tight clustering around 76–79°F while assigning lower probability to cooler bins or outliers. Updated NHC/NOAA briefings and morning model cycles on September 6 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Houston el 6 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Houston el 6 de septiembre?
88°F o más 58%
72-73°F 48%
80-81°F 48%
82-83°F 48%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
69°F o menos
7%
70-71 °F
47%
72-73°F
48%
74-75 °F
26%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
8%
88°F o más
58%
88°F o más 58%
72-73°F 48%
80-81°F 48%
82-83°F 48%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
69°F o menos
$0 Vol.
7%
70-71 °F
$0 Vol.
47%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
48%
74-75 °F
$0 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
33%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
45%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
48%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
48%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
8%
88°F o más
$0 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature in the upper 70s on September 6, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 78-79°F (45%) and 76-77°F (33%).**
Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple models indicate overnight lows near 78°F for the night of September 5–6, with the daily minimum on the 6th expected in a similar range under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. Persistent high humidity from Gulf moisture, combined with the absence of a strong cold front, supports these elevated readings—well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 75°F for the date. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with limited cooling potential before sunrise, though any earlier clearing or slightly stronger winds could nudge the low a degree or two lower. Traders appear to be weighting the current warm, stable pattern heavily, producing tight clustering around 76–79°F while assigning lower probability to cooler bins or outliers. Updated NHC/NOAA briefings and morning model cycles on September 6 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature in the upper 70s on September 6, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 78-79°F (45%) and 76-77°F (33%).**
Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple models indicate overnight lows near 78°F for the night of September 5–6, with the daily minimum on the 6th expected in a similar range under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. Persistent high humidity from Gulf moisture, combined with the absence of a strong cold front, supports these elevated readings—well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 75°F for the date. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with limited cooling potential before sunrise, though any earlier clearing or slightly stronger winds could nudge the low a degree or two lower. Traders appear to be weighting the current warm, stable pattern heavily, producing tight clustering around 76–79°F while assigning lower probability to cooler bins or outliers. Updated NHC/NOAA briefings and morning model cycles on September 6 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature in the upper 70s on September 6, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 78-79°F (45%) and 76-77°F (33%).** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple models indicate overnight lows near 78°F for the night of September 5–6, with the daily minimum on the 6th expected in a similar range under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. Persistent high humidity from Gulf moisture, combined with the absence of a strong cold front, supports these elevated readings—well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 75°F for the date. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with limited cooling potential before sunrise, though any earlier clearing or slightly stronger winds could nudge the low a degree or two lower. Traders appear to be weighting the current warm, stable pattern heavily, producing tight clustering around 76–79°F while assigning lower probability to cooler bins or outliers. Updated NHC/NOAA briefings and morning model cycles on September 6 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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