Forecast models from multiple meteorological sources project Chengdu's overnight low on August 31 around 21–23°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–34°C and light winds. This aligns with typical late-summer Sichuan basin patterns lacking major frontal systems or monsoon influences. Trader emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome (44.5% implied probability) likely reflects model spread favoring slightly stronger cooling scenarios, while probabilities clustered at 21–23°C (around 26–27% each) mirror the consensus range from agencies. Updated guidance tomorrow morning could shift these market-implied odds as new observational data arrives.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 31 de agosto?
19°C 44%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
9%
18°C
8%
19°C
44%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 44%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
16°C or below
$135 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$140 Vol.
9%
18°C
$50 Vol.
8%
19°C
$0 Vol.
44%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$10 Vol.
24%
25°C
$10 Vol.
26%
26°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple meteorological sources project Chengdu's overnight low on August 31 around 21–23°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–34°C and light winds. This aligns with typical late-summer Sichuan basin patterns lacking major frontal systems or monsoon influences. Trader emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome (44.5% implied probability) likely reflects model spread favoring slightly stronger cooling scenarios, while probabilities clustered at 21–23°C (around 26–27% each) mirror the consensus range from agencies. Updated guidance tomorrow morning could shift these market-implied odds as new observational data arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$355Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple meteorological sources project Chengdu's overnight low on August 31 around 21–23°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–34°C and light winds. This aligns with typical late-summer Sichuan basin patterns lacking major frontal systems or monsoon influences. Trader emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome (44.5% implied probability) likely reflects model spread favoring slightly stronger cooling scenarios, while probabilities clustered at 21–23°C (around 26–27% each) mirror the consensus range from agencies. Updated guidance tomorrow morning could shift these market-implied odds as new observational data arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$355Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple meteorological sources project Chengdu's overnight low on August 31 around 21–23°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–34°C and light winds. This aligns with typical late-summer Sichuan basin patterns lacking major frontal systems or monsoon influences. Trader emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome (44.5% implied probability) likely reflects model spread favoring slightly stronger cooling scenarios, while probabilities clustered at 21–23°C (around 26–27% each) mirror the consensus range from agencies. Updated guidance tomorrow morning could shift these market-implied odds as new observational data arrives.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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