Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a stable overnight minimum near 23°C in Chengdu on August 30, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. This consensus supports the 93% market-implied probability for 23°C, consistent with recent observations showing lows of 22–24°C under similar high-pressure patterns. Minor model spread or localized urban heat effects could allow 22°C or 24°C, though current data releases and hourly trends make larger deviations unlikely before midnight resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 30 de agosto?
23°C 99%
21°C 9%
22°C 5%
20°C 2%
$2,269 Vol.
$2,269 Vol.
30 ago 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
5%
23°C
99%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99%
21°C 9%
22°C 5%
20°C 2%
$2,269 Vol.
$2,269 Vol.
30 ago 2026
18°C or below
$195 Vol.
1%
19°C
$246 Vol.
1%
20°C
$39 Vol.
2%
21°C
$34 Vol.
9%
22°C
$44 Vol.
5%
23°C
$106 Vol.
99%
24°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$382 Vol.
1%
26°C
$187 Vol.
1%
27°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$420 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a stable overnight minimum near 23°C in Chengdu on August 30, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. This consensus supports the 93% market-implied probability for 23°C, consistent with recent observations showing lows of 22–24°C under similar high-pressure patterns. Minor model spread or localized urban heat effects could allow 22°C or 24°C, though current data releases and hourly trends make larger deviations unlikely before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,269Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a stable overnight minimum near 23°C in Chengdu on August 30, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. This consensus supports the 93% market-implied probability for 23°C, consistent with recent observations showing lows of 22–24°C under similar high-pressure patterns. Minor model spread or localized urban heat effects could allow 22°C or 24°C, though current data releases and hourly trends make larger deviations unlikely before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,269Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a stable overnight minimum near 23°C in Chengdu on August 30, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. This consensus supports the 93% market-implied probability for 23°C, consistent with recent observations showing lows of 22–24°C under similar high-pressure patterns. Minor model spread or localized urban heat effects could allow 22°C or 24°C, though current data releases and hourly trends make larger deviations unlikely before midnight resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes