Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 11–13°C for Amsterdam on September 10, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3°C for that date. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes because model guidance shows high uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under clearing high pressure, light winds, and variable low-level humidity. Clear, calm conditions favor stronger surface cooling and lower minima, while any residual cloud cover or slightly stronger flow would limit the drop and support milder readings. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours, along with updated observational data on boundary-layer moisture, will likely resolve much of this spread before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 10 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 10 de septiembre?
16°C o más 86%
6°C o menos 82%
15°C 39%
7°C 35%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
6°C o menos
82%
7°C
35%
8°C
19%
9°C
21%
10°C
24%
11°C
25%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
39%
16°C o más
86%
16°C o más 86%
6°C o menos 82%
15°C 39%
7°C 35%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
6°C o menos
$25 Vol.
82%
7°C
$10 Vol.
35%
8°C
$0 Vol.
19%
9°C
$0 Vol.
21%
10°C
$0 Vol.
24%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$10 Vol.
39%
16°C o más
$51 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 11–13°C for Amsterdam on September 10, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3°C for that date. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes because model guidance shows high uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under clearing high pressure, light winds, and variable low-level humidity. Clear, calm conditions favor stronger surface cooling and lower minima, while any residual cloud cover or slightly stronger flow would limit the drop and support milder readings. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours, along with updated observational data on boundary-layer moisture, will likely resolve much of this spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$76Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 11–13°C for Amsterdam on September 10, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3°C for that date. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes because model guidance shows high uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under clearing high pressure, light winds, and variable low-level humidity. Clear, calm conditions favor stronger surface cooling and lower minima, while any residual cloud cover or slightly stronger flow would limit the drop and support milder readings. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours, along with updated observational data on boundary-layer moisture, will likely resolve much of this spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$76Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 11–13°C for Amsterdam on September 10, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3°C for that date. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes because model guidance shows high uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under clearing high pressure, light winds, and variable low-level humidity. Clear, calm conditions favor stronger surface cooling and lower minima, while any residual cloud cover or slightly stronger flow would limit the drop and support milder readings. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours, along with updated observational data on boundary-layer moisture, will likely resolve much of this spread before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes