**Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show the minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 1 clustered around 14–16°C under building high pressure, moderate westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling.** Overnight lows from late August storms give way to clearer conditions favoring dew-point depression and surface cooling, though marine air advection from the North Sea and residual cloud cover introduce spread in ensemble outputs. Market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus, with traders weighting the most probable outcomes near the forecast median while acknowledging uncertainty from model timing differences and local urban heat effects. Updated model runs and observational data through the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 1 de septiembre?
15°C 28%
14°C 27%
16°C 27%
17°C 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
19%
13°C
12%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
27%
17°C
25%
18°C
11%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
13%
15°C 28%
14°C 27%
16°C 27%
17°C 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
10°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
11°C
$0 Vol.
6%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
12%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$10 Vol.
8%
20°C or higher
$140 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show the minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 1 clustered around 14–16°C under building high pressure, moderate westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling.** Overnight lows from late August storms give way to clearer conditions favoring dew-point depression and surface cooling, though marine air advection from the North Sea and residual cloud cover introduce spread in ensemble outputs. Market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus, with traders weighting the most probable outcomes near the forecast median while acknowledging uncertainty from model timing differences and local urban heat effects. Updated model runs and observational data through the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$160Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show the minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 1 clustered around 14–16°C under building high pressure, moderate westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling.** Overnight lows from late August storms give way to clearer conditions favoring dew-point depression and surface cooling, though marine air advection from the North Sea and residual cloud cover introduce spread in ensemble outputs. Market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus, with traders weighting the most probable outcomes near the forecast median while acknowledging uncertainty from model timing differences and local urban heat effects. Updated model runs and observational data through the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$160Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show the minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 1 clustered around 14–16°C under building high pressure, moderate westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling.** Overnight lows from late August storms give way to clearer conditions favoring dew-point depression and surface cooling, though marine air advection from the North Sea and residual cloud cover introduce spread in ensemble outputs. Market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus, with traders weighting the most probable outcomes near the forecast median while acknowledging uncertainty from model timing differences and local urban heat effects. Updated model runs and observational data through the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes