Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and southwesterly flow are limiting overnight radiative cooling over Amsterdam, keeping the minimum temperature on August 31 clustered near 14–16 °C according to the latest model guidance. High dew points near 14–15 °C and near-continuous low-level moisture further suppress temperature drops, producing a milder outcome than the long-term August 31 average low of roughly 12 °C. With leading market probabilities tightly bunched between 13 °C and 17 °C, traders are pricing in modest forecast spread arising from differences in timing of showers and exact wind speeds overnight. Resolution hinges on the official station reading, most likely Schiphol, where even small shifts in cloud breaks could move the minimum by 1–2 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 31 de agosto?
15°C 28%
14°C 27%
16°C 27%
13°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
17%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
27%
17°C
16%
18°C
5%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 28%
14°C 27%
16°C 27%
13°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
11°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
17%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
16%
18°C
$0 Vol.
5%
19°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and southwesterly flow are limiting overnight radiative cooling over Amsterdam, keeping the minimum temperature on August 31 clustered near 14–16 °C according to the latest model guidance. High dew points near 14–15 °C and near-continuous low-level moisture further suppress temperature drops, producing a milder outcome than the long-term August 31 average low of roughly 12 °C. With leading market probabilities tightly bunched between 13 °C and 17 °C, traders are pricing in modest forecast spread arising from differences in timing of showers and exact wind speeds overnight. Resolution hinges on the official station reading, most likely Schiphol, where even small shifts in cloud breaks could move the minimum by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$120Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and southwesterly flow are limiting overnight radiative cooling over Amsterdam, keeping the minimum temperature on August 31 clustered near 14–16 °C according to the latest model guidance. High dew points near 14–15 °C and near-continuous low-level moisture further suppress temperature drops, producing a milder outcome than the long-term August 31 average low of roughly 12 °C. With leading market probabilities tightly bunched between 13 °C and 17 °C, traders are pricing in modest forecast spread arising from differences in timing of showers and exact wind speeds overnight. Resolution hinges on the official station reading, most likely Schiphol, where even small shifts in cloud breaks could move the minimum by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$120Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and southwesterly flow are limiting overnight radiative cooling over Amsterdam, keeping the minimum temperature on August 31 clustered near 14–16 °C according to the latest model guidance. High dew points near 14–15 °C and near-continuous low-level moisture further suppress temperature drops, producing a milder outcome than the long-term August 31 average low of roughly 12 °C. With leading market probabilities tightly bunched between 13 °C and 17 °C, traders are pricing in modest forecast spread arising from differences in timing of showers and exact wind speeds overnight. Resolution hinges on the official station reading, most likely Schiphol, where even small shifts in cloud breaks could move the minimum by 1–2 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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